2021-03-27
| Horse | Number | Draw | Age | ML Win Prob | Last 3 First Pct. | Last 3 Final 6f Pct. | Last 3 Final 4f Pct | Last 3 Fin. Pct. | Win Prob. | Fair Odds | Clas Rating | FN_figs | Last 4 Dist. | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 4 | 9 | 5 | 0.286 | [98.01, 83.73, 84.41] | [100.0, 103.35, 103.18] | [101.03, 102.49, 100.78] | [99.42, 102.69, 99.39] | 17.332 | 4.76967 | 23.3808 | [52.7, 75.8, 75.5, 77.0] | [8.25, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Towards rear of midfield - ridden inside 2f out - not clear run over 1f out - stayed on final furlong |
| ALLOY STAR | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0.111 | [96.98, 94.03, 94.12] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [101.58, 103.28, 103.23] | [100.86, 101.34, 100.74] | 11.119 | 7.99361 | 17.8115 | [70.2, 74.0, 74.4, 74.6] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Towards rear - wide into straight - ridden 2f out - stayed on final furlong - never dangerous |
| THE FULL BLOOM | 11 | 12 | 8 | 0.059 | [81.6, 96.27, 86.15] | [103.9, 100.0, 102.75] | [103.49, 101.98, 99.98] | [101.45, 98.74, 97.76] | 10.68 | 8.3633 | 22.024 | [64.7, 68.5, 74.6, 70.5] | [8.25, 7.0, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Midfield - ridden 2f out - not clear run 1 1/2f out - kept on same pace |
| GREAT HARVEST | 8 | 7 | 5 | 0.182 | [94.84, 97.05, 86.13] | [100.0, 100.0, 102.76] | [102.79, 101.54, 101.08] | [102.3, 101.39, 99.91] | 10.089 | 8.91179 | 21.9923 | [80.0, 78.0, 78.8, 79.5] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Towards rear of midfield - headway into midfield on outside 3f out - ridden 2f out - driven and chased leaders over 1f out - led 150yds out - headed 75yds out - kept on |
| BLAZING PARTNERS | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0.154 | [96.38, 85.65, 87.43] | [101.27, 102.87, 102.46] | [100.02, 101.68, 100.11] | [99.67, 103.89, 98.99] | 8.814 | 10.3456 | 20.525 | [77.0, 75.97, 70.5, 79.5] | [7.0, 8.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | In touch - ridden 2f out - driven and kept on well final furlong - not able to challenge |
| TIGER GLARE | 6 | 10 | 4 | 0.067 | [111.48, 96.71, 95.73] | [99.88, 100.0, 100.0] | [98.2, 101.73, 102.28] | [93.92, 100.8, 99.01] | 8.147 | 11.2745 | 17.4494 | [82.08, 56.75, 68.0, 77.0] | [8.25, 8.25, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Midfield - ridden 2f out - kept on well from 1 1/2f out - not going pace to challenge |
| ONE STEP AHEAD | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0.133 | [95.46, 94.69, 94.32] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.43, 102.88, 103.11] | [100.46, 99.9, 100.09] | 7.874 | 11.7 | 19.8248 | [77.6, 67.8, 68.0, 77.6] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Towards rear - ridden over 2f out - headway inside 2f out - not clear run from 1 1/2f out until switched inside final furlong - stayed on - nearest finish |
| SOCCER MASTER | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.043 | [82.27, 85.05, 84.71] | [103.73, 103.02, 103.1] | [102.91, 101.19, 100.24] | [104.14, 100.31, 99.01] | 7.418 | 12.4807 | 20.7551 | [84.1, 82.9, 67.5, 75.0] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Raced keenly - towards rear of midfield - ridden 2f out - weakened final furlong |
| CRUCIATUS | 5 | 14 | 5 | 0.038 | [98.59, 93.23, 84.85] | [100.0, 100.0, 103.07] | [100.72, 103.77, 100.55] | [96.41, 101.83, 98.12] | 7.359 | 12.5888 | 14.4378 | [71.5, 56.6, 71.4, 71.5] | [7.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Towards rear - ridden and headway on inside over 2f out - driven and no further impression final furlong |
| FIRE AND GOLD | 13 | 8 | 7 | 0.043 | [94.47, 95.5, 95.51] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [103.01, 102.41, 102.41] | [100.44, 101.66, 101.24] | 5.407 | 17.4945 | 19.5684 | [72.0, 77.4, 70.6, 70.2] | [7.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Always towards rear |
| UNIVERSAL RECORD | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0.038 | [88.17, 81.56, 88.39] | [102.29, 103.91, 102.24] | [99.54, 102.84, 99.24] | [97.39, 104.83, 97.15] | 5.045 | 18.8216 | 14.3864 | [36.5, 76.0, 66.5, 74.0] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Led - headed after 1 1/2f - with leader - ridden and joined leader 2f out - outright leader 1f out - headed 150yds out - weakened final 100yds |
| LUCKY VICTOR | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0.029 | [109.1, 90.94, 98.69] | [100.7, 99.54, 100.0] | [100.99, 99.68, 100.67] | [102.54, 99.64, 100.82] | 0.411 | 242.309 | 12.392 | [73.46, 63.7, 65.5, 70.2] | [9.0, 8.25, 9.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Tracked leaders - ridden 2f out - driven and weakened over 1f out |
| WAYFOONG STAR | 1 | 13 | 5 | 0.029 | [88.18, 95.85, 83.25] | [102.29, 100.0, 103.47] | [98.65, 102.21, 102.69] | [95.16, 99.52, 100.91] | 0.298 | 334.57 | 19.218 | [83.8, 55.4, 73.6, 60.5] | [5.0, 7.0, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Started slowly - always towards rear |
| HAPPY JAI JAI | 2 | 11 | 4 | 0.029 | [108.03, 104.89, 86.89] | [101.08, 102.27, 102.58] | [100.87, 100.34, 100.44] | [100.38, 97.37, 102.42] | 0.007 | 14284.7 | 18.3694 | [76.03, 76.03, 62.2, 67.5] | [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 7.0, 7.0] | Quickly away from wide stall and led - ridden when challenged 2f out - headed 1 1/2f out - weakened final furlong |
| Horse | Number | Draw | Age | ML Win Prob | Last 3 First Pct. | Last 3 Final 6f Pct. | Last 3 Final 4f Pct | Last 3 Fin. Pct. | Win Prob. | Fair Odds | Clas Rating | FN_figs | Last 4 Dist. | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAY WISE | 4 | 9 | 7 | 0.111 | [104.58, 103.21, 80.28] | [102.4, 102.96, 102.86] | [102.01, 103.22, 104.49] | [102.82, 106.63, 106.7] | 13.628 | 6.33783 | 25.9438 | [84.58, 71.12, 78.88, 87.65] | [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 9.0, 10.0] | Started slowly - in rear pair - ridden and stayed on well from 2f out - nearest finish |
| JOYFUL HEART | 1 | 13 | 5 | 0.111 | [86.15, 84.6, 84.5] | [102.75, 103.13, 101.34] | [101.36, 101.04, 102.74] | [102.71, 99.57, 103.38] | 12.82 | 6.80031 | 27.2585 | [85.15, 85.0, 82.5, 88.82] | [9.0, 7.0, 7.0, 9.0, 10.0] | Midfield - ridden 2 1/2f out - stayed on from inside 2f out - pressed winner closing stages - just held |
| EZRA | 2 | 10 | 5 | 0.167 | [87.73, 78.94, 82.57] | [101.53, 102.01, 101.95] | [101.67, 101.58, 103.43] | [101.76, 101.73, 104.28] | 11.584 | 7.6326 | 26.1644 | [81.0, 83.65, 82.7, 82.7] | [9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 10.0] | Towards rear - ridden 2 1/2f out - driven and kept on from 2f out - no extra and just pushed along final furlong |
| KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 7 | 6 | 7 | 0.133 | [89.34, 92.99, 87.48] | [103.79, 102.3, 101.09] | [103.92, 104.5, 101.18] | [104.1, 106.21, 101.49] | 11.469 | 7.71916 | 23.131 | [78.3, 81.2, 84.0, 85.15] | [11.0, 10.0, 10.0, 9.0, 10.0] | Midfield - not much room when ridden inside 2f out - kept on same pace |
| CROWN AVENUE | 6 | 4 | 8 | 0.067 | [104.89, 85.34, 86.1] | [102.27, 101.73, 101.05] | [100.63, 103.82, 101.79] | [98.68, 103.26, 102.68] | 9.253 | 9.80731 | 25.3672 | [80.78, 74.08, 88.5, 69.8] | [8.25, 8.25, 11.0, 9.0, 10.0] | Raced keenly - in touch - ridden 2f out - effort over 1f out - weakened final 125yds |
| DONC JE SUIS | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0.25 | [94.5, 94.24, 84.98] | [101.98, 102.08, 101.84] | [101.19, 100.38, 102.5] | [100.08, 100.65, 103.32] | 8.634 | 10.5821 | 25.7843 | [80.0, 82.78, 81.3, 89.65] | [7.0, 8.0, 8.0, 9.0, 10.0] | Towards rear - took closer order on inside 2f out - ridden inside 2f out - chased leaders 1 1/2f out - kept on final furlong - not able to challenge |
| EXALTATION | 10 | 1 | 5 | 0.091 | [82.34, 81.59, 86.32] | [102.54, 101.83, 100.86] | [105.06, 103.12, 100.95] | [105.33, 103.77, 101.22] | 7.453 | 12.4174 | 22.6385 | [91.86, 89.9, 84.05, 67.1] | [11.0, 11.0, 9.0, 9.0, 10.0] | Chased leader - ridden 2 1/2f out - weakened over 1f out |
| MORE THAN A HORSE | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0.059 | [94.74, 86.7, 81.81] | [100.0, 98.22, 102.36] | [102.86, 96.05, 104.12] | [100.39, 87.05, 105.81] | 5.898 | 15.9549 | 25.0344 | [47.0, 77.0, 44.05, 84.05] | [9.0, 6.0, 11.0, 9.0, 10.0] | In rear pair - ridden 2f out - stayed on final furlong - nearest finish |
| PERFECT TO PLAY | 9 | 7 | 7 | 0.067 | [84.52, 85.31, 88.05] | [101.96, 101.8, 101.19] | [102.17, 102.16, 100.94] | [102.6, 101.23, 100.81] | 5.479 | 17.2515 | 23.1739 | [87.45, 82.3, 84.7, 84.65] | [11.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 10.0] | In touch - tracked leaders 2 1/2f out - ridden inside 2f out - kept on well final furlong - went 2nd 75yds out - not pace of winner closing stages |
| GOLD 'N' BOLD | 13 | 12 | 4 | 0.038 | [86.77, 94.45, 108.85] | [102.61, 102.0, 100.78] | [102.98, 100.4, 100.67] | [105.49, 98.12, 99.02] | 3.537 | 27.2725 | 21.0409 | [69.4, 77.0, 81.82, 75.18] | [5.0, 7.0, 8.0, 8.25, 10.0] | Chased leader - ridden inside 3f out - short of room and lost place inside 2f out - weakened from over 1f out |
| LUCKY MISSILE | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0.029 | [107.07, 82.28, 106.15] | [101.44, 103.72, 101.78] | [100.95, 101.5, 102.35] | [102.11, 98.56, 102.31] | 3.487 | 27.6779 | 22.563 | [70.28, 73.12, 73.0, 75.18] | [8.25, 8.25, 7.0, 8.25, 10.0] | Towards rear - ridden 2 1/2f out - driven and kept on final furlong - never dangerous |
| BULLISH GLORY | 11 | 5 | 8 | 0.038 | [82.03, 81.21, 83.18] | [100.91, 102.15, 101.9] | [101.85, 104.52, 101.65] | [101.35, 105.26, 100.8] | 2.484 | 39.2576 | 23.3115 | [56.95, 85.7, 87.45, 75.25] | [11.0, 11.0, 11.0, 9.0, 10.0] | Reared leaving stalls and started slowly - always in rear |
| GOOD DAYS I | 12 | 8 | 7 | 0.053 | [0.0, 0.0, 0.0] | [0.0, 0.0, 0.0] | [0.0, 0.0, 0.0] | [0.0, 0.0, 0.0] | 2.421 | 40.3052 | 25.5107 | [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0] | [8.25, 11.0, 9.0, 9.0, 10.0] | Towards rear - forward move into midfield 3 1/2f out - ridden over 2f out - not clear run 1f out - soon no impression - eased final 50yds |
| MCMUNIGAL | 14 | 14 | 6 | 0.029 | [84.12, 96.09, 85.72] | [100.75, 101.38, 100.56] | [99.04, 99.8, 100.91] | [96.88, 97.54, 98.43] | 1.853 | 52.9665 | 19.3379 | [50.3, 67.85, 75.18, 67.4] | [9.0, 9.0, 8.0, 9.0, 10.0] | Towards rear of midfield - ridden 2 1/2f out - weakened 1 1/2f out |
| Horse | Number | Draw | Age | ML Win Prob | Last 3 First Pct. | Last 3 Final 6f Pct. | Last 3 Final 4f Pct | Last 3 Fin. Pct. | Win Prob. | Fair Odds | Clas Rating | FN_figs | Last 4 Dist. | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WINNER METHOD | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0.444 | [nan, 84.59, 84.43] | [nan, 100.0, 100.0] | [nan, 104.77, 104.83] | [nan, 100.44, 100.77] | 46.907 | 1.13188 | 40.3043 | [nan, nan, 86.0, 97.0] | [nan, nan, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] | Prominent - ridden 1 1/2f out - led 1f out - kept on strongly final furlong - ridden out |
| BRILLIANT FORTUNE | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0.286 | [nan, nan, 86.15] | [nan, nan, 100.0] | [nan, nan, 104.19] | [nan, nan, 98.88] | 15.5 | 5.45161 | nan | [nan, nan, nan, 94.72] | [nan, nan, nan, 5.0, 5.0] | Led - ridden inside 2f out - driven when pressed final 150yds out - drifted right final 125yds - headed close home |
| SUNSHINE SUPREME | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0.091 | [98.36, 96.82, 96.05] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [100.84, 101.67, 102.1] | [96.06, 99.91, 98.97] | 9.617 | 9.39825 | 24.6581 | [nan, 74.8, 84.2, 84.8] | [nan, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0] | Midfield - took closer order 3 1/2f out - ridden 1 1/2f out - driven and kept on well final furlong - not going pace to challenge |
| METRO WARRIOR | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.048 | [86.82, 86.16, 96.96] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [103.94, 104.18, 101.59] | [98.93, 99.79, 99.08] | 6.561 | 14.2416 | 29.7305 | [85.0, 83.8, 81.9, 71.6] | [5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 6.0, 5.0] | Towards rear of midfield on outside - ridden 2f out - driven and weakened final furlong |
| TRIPLE TRIPLE | 4 | 10 | 6 | 0.077 | [95.71, 96.51, 98.34] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.29, 101.84, 100.85] | [102.74, 101.29, 96.81] | 5.736 | 16.4338 | 28.6087 | [89.0, 89.4, 92.0, 77.0] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0] | Chased leader - led over 3f out - headed over 2f out - ridden 2f out - weakened final furlong |
| FALCON TURBO | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0.067 | [95.23, 94.81, 85.29] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.57, 102.82, 104.5] | [102.61, 103.98, 98.35] | 5.157 | 18.3911 | 28.3942 | [84.8, 91.0, 84.8, 73.3] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 5.0] | Midfield - outpaced over 2f out - weakened final furlong |
| WINNING BREW | 10 | 6 | 5 | 0.038 | [94.91, 85.96, 86.99] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.76, 104.26, 103.89] | [101.77, 98.37, 101.41] | 3.917 | 24.5297 | 27.9589 | [88.0, 87.2, 60.2, 79.0] | [6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] | Towards rear of midfield - ridden and effort on inside 1 1/2f out - no extra inside final furlong |
| MCLUCKY | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.111 | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | 3.105 | 31.2061 | nan | [nan, nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan, nan, 5.0] | nan |
| FLYING HIGH | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0.059 | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | 1.842 | 53.2888 | nan | [nan, nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan, nan, 5.0] | nan |
| HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 9 | 7 | 5 | 0.029 | [88.29, 85.04, 89.43] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [103.43, 104.6, 103.05] | [100.0, 99.86, 99.37] | 1.658 | 59.3136 | 25.7742 | [66.5, 73.5, 83.7, 76.2] | [5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] | In touch - ridden inside 2f out - driven and weakened final furlong |
| Horse | Number | Draw | Age | ML Win Prob | Last 3 First Pct. | Last 3 Final 6f Pct. | Last 3 Final 4f Pct | Last 3 Fin. Pct. | Win Prob. | Fair Odds | Clas Rating | FN_figs | Last 4 Dist. | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPEED FAY FAY | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0.125 | [82.64, 84.5, 86.73] | [103.63, 103.15, 102.62] | [100.91, 100.39, 99.73] | [98.92, 98.9, 98.59] | 20.956 | 3.7719 | 27.8543 | [86.0, 87.8, 89.0, 87.0] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | In touch - tracked leaders going well over 2f out - ridden to lead 1 1/2f out - driven and held on well final 100yds |
| CHEERFUL DAYS | 3 | 13 | 4 | 0.2 | [94.22, 97.94, 99.46] | [102.09, 100.71, 100.18] | [101.78, 99.16, 97.74] | [102.0, 97.78, 94.1] | 17.42 | 4.74053 | 28.4251 | [84.0, 85.78, 91.81, 80.4] | [7.0, 8.0, 8.0, 8.0, 7.0] | Ridden along to lead - ridden 2f out - driven 1 1/2f out - weakened from 150yds out - headed 100yds out - soon beaten |
| SUPER TEN | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0.167 | [87.46, 87.81, 87.34] | [102.45, 102.37, 102.48] | [99.71, 101.99, 100.0] | [102.36, 104.11, 98.93] | 14.383 | 5.95265 | 26.432 | [73.5, 89.0, 76.5, 85.5] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Led - ridden 2f out - headed 100yds out - no extra closing stages |
| SUPER MISSION | 9 | 8 | 4 | 0.111 | [94.42, 96.18, 94.28] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [103.05, 102.03, 103.13] | [103.37, 101.45, 101.3] | 10.551 | 8.47777 | 27.1269 | [76.48, 79.08, 77.0, 82.4] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Midfield - ridden and effort 2f out - driven and kept on same pace final furlong |
| ERNEST FEELING | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0.091 | [nan, 96.54, 94.97] | [nan, 100.0, 100.0] | [nan, 101.82, 102.72] | [nan, 101.67, 102.36] | 8.592 | 10.6387 | 25.7536 | [nan, nan, 81.2, 81.0] | [nan, nan, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Towards rear - ridden and involved in some scrimmaging over 2f out - not clear run inside 2f out - stayed on final furlong - not going pace to threaten |
| COPARTNER AMBITION | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0.182 | [nan, nan, 93.36] | [nan, nan, 100.0] | [nan, nan, 103.69] | [nan, nan, 103.53] | 7.436 | 12.4481 | 33.8306 | [nan, nan, nan, 84.98] | [nan, nan, nan, 6.0, 7.0] | Towards rear - ridden over 2f out - stayed on well from over 1f out - nearest finish |
| TELECOM ROCKET | 10 | 6 | 6 | 0.077 | [95.02, 97.51, 85.13] | [100.0, 100.0, 103.0] | [102.69, 101.29, 100.59] | [101.65, 100.39, 97.68] | 3.797 | 25.3366 | 27.1884 | [75.32, 85.6, 75.0, 79.0] | [8.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Midfield - ridden 2 1/2f out - slightly hampered inside 2f out - soon no impression |
| VIVA POPCORN | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0.038 | [88.51, 97.92, 82.69] | [100.0, 100.0, 103.62] | [103.35, 101.08, 102.85] | [100.37, 99.47, 101.84] | 3.64 | 26.4725 | 16.8018 | [nan, 72.4, 63.2, 71.0] | [nan, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Towards rear of midfield - ridden 2f out - weakened final furlong |
| E BROTHER | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0.048 | [nan, nan, 96.31] | [nan, nan, 100.0] | [nan, nan, 101.95] | [nan, nan, 100.19] | 3.263 | 29.6466 | 19.432 | [nan, nan, nan, 74.2] | [nan, nan, nan, 6.0, 7.0] | In touch in midfield - outpaced over 2f out - soon no impression |
| KUNG FU TEA | 14 | 12 | 5 | 0.038 | [94.4, 97.74, 95.6] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [103.06, 101.17, 102.35] | [100.91, 100.61, 102.18] | 3.125 | 31 | 19.2458 | [78.8, 81.6, 76.44, 79.2] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Towards rear - ridden and some headway on inside under 2f out - not clear run and lost place 1 1/2f out - switched off rail and kept on final furlong - never dangerous |
| GOLDEN FOUR | 11 | 10 | 6 | 0.059 | [83.43, 81.66, 84.53] | [103.42, 103.89, 103.15] | [102.77, 101.92, 101.14] | [101.56, 102.21, 100.08] | 2.555 | 38.1389 | 26.9519 | [75.5, 82.5, 77.0, 86.0] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Towards rear - ridden over 2f out - stayed on final furlong - never dangerous |
| BLAZING BEAT | 2 | 14 | 4 | 0.038 | [107.09, 110.35, 108.91] | [101.43, 100.26, 100.76] | [101.07, 98.89, 100.82] | [99.01, 95.25, 99.96] | 2.26 | 43.2478 | 20.5321 | [83.62, 81.08, 68.78, 81.35] | [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 7.0] | Led - ridden inside 2f out - headed inside final furlong - weakened final 75yds |
| NOBLE MAN | 13 | 9 | 5 | 0.048 | [86.26, 97.39, 86.6] | [102.73, 100.9, 102.65] | [101.59, 100.08, 100.93] | [104.38, 99.42, 98.36] | 1.608 | 61.1891 | 20.3263 | [66.8, 75.0, 75.6, 73.0] | [6.0, 7.0, 8.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Tracked leaders - ridden over 2f out - driven and weakened from 1 1/2f out |
| TELECOM ELITE | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0.02 | [85.03, 104.74, 94.16] | [103.02, 102.34, 102.11] | [101.37, 101.38, 100.85] | [99.17, 101.51, 98.94] | 0.414 | 240.546 | 13.1448 | [78.28, 75.5, 75.0, 68.78] | [6.0, 7.0, 8.25, 8.0, 7.0] | Always towards rear |
| Horse | Number | Draw | Age | ML Win Prob | Last 3 First Pct. | Last 3 Final 6f Pct. | Last 3 Final 4f Pct | Last 3 Fin. Pct. | Win Prob. | Fair Odds | Clas Rating | FN_figs | Last 4 Dist. | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNCLE STEVE | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0.25 | [95.27, 92.68, 85.47] | [101.68, 102.71, 102.92] | [101.05, 101.98, 101.37] | [101.33, 99.61, 99.91] | 19.937 | 4.0158 | 31.8929 | [88.0, 89.81, 89.35, 91.5] | [8.25, 8.0, 8.0, 7.0, 7.0] | In touch - ridden over 2f out - driven 1 1/2f out - stayed on final furlong - went 2nd 100yds out - no chance with winner |
| LET'S DO IT | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0.111 | [nan, 92.41, 93.84] | [nan, 100.0, 100.0] | [nan, 104.28, 103.39] | [nan, 103.08, 103.76] | 12.128 | 7.24538 | 25.1653 | [nan, nan, 80.4, 85.8] | [nan, nan, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Started slowly - towards rear - ridden over 2f out - stayed on well final 150yds - nearest finish |
| FLASH FAMOUS | 8 | 6 | 6 | 0.077 | [104.81, 84.31, 105.78] | [102.31, 101.89, 101.93] | [100.69, 102.43, 101.47] | [98.86, 104.07, 102.6] | 11.685 | 7.55798 | 26.4993 | [82.35, 82.35, 82.25, 83.3] | [8.25, 8.25, 9.0, 8.25, 7.0] | Towards rear - ridden and steady headway from 2f out - stayed on final furlong - never dangerous |
| HALL OF CHAMP | 11 | 12 | 5 | 0.111 | [106.01, 96.16, 97.27] | [101.84, 100.0, 100.0] | [101.6, 102.03, 101.42] | [102.72, 101.57, 98.08] | 10.982 | 8.10581 | 28.4984 | [88.0, 84.92, 87.2, 73.4] | [7.0, 8.25, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Midfield - took closer order on outside 2 1/2f out - ridden inside 2f out - wide into straight and lost place - soon no impression - weakened final 100yds |
| ALPHA HEDGE | 2 | 13 | 7 | 0.059 | [93.91, 103.9, 87.79] | [102.21, 102.67, 100.36] | [101.16, 102.58, 100.04] | [100.94, 104.19, 99.25] | 10.93 | 8.14913 | 28.5133 | [91.3, 90.62, 85.92, 81.75] | [8.25, 8.0, 8.25, 9.0, 7.0] | Tracked leaders - lost place over 3f out - ridden 2f out - driven final furlong - weakened final 100yds |
| GOLDEN LINK | 13 | 5 | 4 | 0.111 | [85.67, 85.15, 87.08] | [102.87, 102.99, 102.54] | [103.17, 100.78, 100.07] | [105.46, 98.4, 98.35] | 10.664 | 8.37734 | 25.9644 | [73.5, 78.0, 64.5, 91.5] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | In touch - tracked leaders 2 1/2f out - ridden over 2f out - carried head high but led inside 2f out - pressed final furlong - kept on well - headed close home |
| BEAUTY FIT | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0.222 | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | 9.399 | 9.63943 | nan | [nan, nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan, nan, 7.0] | nan |
| BEAUTY SPIRIT | 5 | 7 | 6 | 0.091 | [107.95, 83.12, 103.41] | [101.11, 103.5, 102.87] | [100.23, 103.25, 102.91] | [99.37, 103.05, 104.76] | 8.682 | 10.5181 | 29.3987 | [83.0, 77.18, 78.5, 86.88] | [7.0, 8.25, 7.0, 8.25, 7.0] | Towards rear of midfield - ridden 2f out - driven and kept on same pace from over 1f out |
| XIANG YIN | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0.077 | [94.37, 81.23, 85.7] | [102.03, 104.01, 102.86] | [102.1, 103.14, 99.79] | [103.1, 103.09, 95.66] | 2.628 | 37.0518 | 26.3209 | [81.88, 90.09, 85.0, 73.5] | [6.0, 8.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Tracked leaders - ridden 2f out - weakened 1 1/2f out |
| E STAR | 1 | 9 | 5 | 0.091 | [82.47, 83.15, 106.69] | [103.67, 103.5, 101.58] | [103.4, 102.39, 101.41] | [104.55, 103.92, 101.2] | 1.102 | 89.7441 | 28.4488 | [97.0, 88.5, 76.0, 80.92] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 8.25, 7.0] | In touch in midfield - lost place over 2f out - ridden and no impression from inside 2f out |
| SKYEY SUPREME | 12 | 3 | 6 | 0.029 | [105.92, 106.16, 105.98] | [101.87, 101.78, 101.85] | [99.72, 102.38, 101.01] | [97.22, 104.06, 99.06] | 1.059 | 93.4287 | 23.4127 | [62.72, 65.53, 82.0, 76.9] | [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 7.0] | In touch in midfield - ridden inside 3f out - lost place 2f out - weakened final furlong |
| FANTASTIC SHOW | 10 | 10 | 6 | 0.02 | [80.2, 92.04, 80.68] | [104.29, 102.97, 104.16] | [103.16, 102.08, 102.64] | [104.51, 100.45, 101.56] | 0.577 | 172.31 | 27.237 | [77.5, 73.5, 69.3, 75.5] | [7.0, 7.0, 8.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Started slowly - slowly into stride - always in rear |
| TURQUOISE ALPHA | 7 | 11 | 4 | 0.015 | [nan, 86.47, 106.32] | [nan, 102.68, 101.72] | [nan, 98.98, 102.01] | [nan, 96.2, 101.65] | 0.227 | 439.529 | 18.8461 | [nan, nan, 77.0, 79.97] | [nan, nan, 7.0, 8.25, 7.0] | Towards rear of midfield - ridden 2f out - weakened final 100yds |
| Horse | Number | Draw | Age | ML Win Prob | Last 3 First Pct. | Last 3 Final 6f Pct. | Last 3 Final 4f Pct | Last 3 Fin. Pct. | Win Prob. | Fair Odds | Clas Rating | FN_figs | Last 4 Dist. | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAMILY FOLKS | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0.167 | [95.54, 96.48, 95.5] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.39, 101.86, 102.41] | [105.16, 102.75, 102.01] | 25.064 | 2.98979 | 30.9353 | [78.3, 84.0, 82.4, 84.0] | [5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Towards rear of midfield on outside - ridden over 2f out - stayed on from 1 1/2f out - nearest finish |
| GALLANT EXPRESS | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0.143 | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | 16.34 | 5.11995 | nan | [nan, nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan, nan, 6.0] | nan |
| GO GO SIXTEEN | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0.111 | [nan, nan, 82.21] | [nan, nan, 100.0] | [nan, nan, 105.72] | [nan, nan, 101.1] | 11.48 | 7.7108 | nan | [nan, nan, nan, 76.9] | [nan, nan, nan, 5.0, 6.0] | Squeezed out at start - towards rear - ridden over 2f out - kept on from inside 2f out - not going pace to threaten |
| IRON KING | 14 | 12 | 5 | 0.111 | [85.94, 88.22, 94.74] | [102.8, 100.0, 100.0] | [98.87, 103.45, 102.86] | [95.76, 95.89, 100.98] | 10.522 | 8.5039 | 24.0709 | [84.3, 81.8, 46.4, 83.0] | [7.0, 7.0, 5.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Towards rear of midfield - ridden over 2f out - driven and headway from 1 1/2f out - stayed on well to lead 100yds out - soon in command - comfortably |
| DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0.167 | [85.75, 86.43, 96.17] | [102.85, 102.69, 100.0] | [101.71, 99.89, 102.03] | [103.45, 96.54, 102.26] | 9.652 | 9.36055 | 30.8979 | [84.5, 79.5, 87.0, 86.6] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Led - headed after 1f - chased leader - ridden 2f out - pressed leader over 1f out - no extra final 100yds |
| VIGOR CHAMP | 13 | 6 | 5 | 0.077 | [94.37, 94.35, 95.65] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [103.08, 103.08, 102.32] | [101.66, 101.41, 102.03] | 7.467 | 12.3923 | 23.6503 | [85.0, 87.8, 77.4, 82.2] | [7.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Towards rear of midfield - ridden over 2f out - not clear run over 1f out - stayed on inside final furlong - nearest finish |
| DRAGON FORTUNE | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0.2 | [nan, 91.59, 96.0] | [nan, 100.0, 100.0] | [nan, 104.81, 102.13] | [nan, 105.59, 102.46] | 5.908 | 15.9262 | 29.1688 | [nan, nan, 81.2, 87.0] | [nan, nan, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | In touch in midfield - ridden 2f out - driven over 1f out - stayed on well final furlong - led last stride |
| SMART WONGCHOY | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0.111 | [93.13, 95.5, 94.82] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [103.83, 102.41, 102.81] | [106.12, 103.94, 102.18] | 5.628 | 16.7683 | 24.4737 | [88.5, 80.4, 82.76, 81.0] | [7.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Towards rear on wide outside - ridden and involved in some scrimmaging over 2f out - stayed on from 1 1/2f out - not going pace to threaten |
| FORTUNE CARRIER | 11 | 14 | 3 | 0.048 | [98.88, 98.9, 91.24] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [100.57, 100.56, 102.46] | [97.89, 99.44, 97.2] | 5.405 | 17.5014 | 19.3043 | [nan, 72.6, 74.0, 69.3] | [nan, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 6.0] | Chased leader - ridden inside 2f out - every chance 1f out - weakened final 150yds |
| AUGUST MOON | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0.015 | [nan, nan, 99.41] | [nan, nan, 100.0] | [nan, nan, 100.3] | [nan, nan, 96.8] | 0.942 | 105.157 | 18.0803 | [nan, nan, nan, 70.0] | [nan, nan, nan, 6.0, 6.0] | In touch on outside - ridden 1 1/2f out - weakened final furlong |
| SEASONS BLISS | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0.024 | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan] | 0.748 | 132.69 | nan | [nan, nan, nan, nan] | [nan, nan, nan, nan, 6.0] | nan |
| LOTUS FAVORITES | 10 | 11 | 4 | 0.01 | [nan, 84.71, 95.38] | [nan, 100.0, 100.0] | [nan, 104.72, 102.48] | [nan, 102.36, 100.84] | 0.732 | 135.612 | 19.7879 | [nan, nan, 67.4, 76.6] | [nan, nan, 5.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Started very slowly - towards rear - ridden 2f out - kept on inside final furlong - never dangerous |
| HAPPY TIME | 9 | 9 | 7 | 0.038 | [100.55, 98.26, 99.8] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [99.73, 100.89, 100.1] | [96.93, 98.06, 95.8] | 0.1 | 999 | 24.4419 | [72.0, 63.8, 79.2, 70.8] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Led - ridden 1 1/2f out - headed 150yds out - weakened quickly final 100yds |
| PEGASUS GLORY | 3 | 13 | 4 | 0.059 | [99.47, 85.23, 96.15] | [100.0, 102.97, 100.0] | [100.27, 100.8, 102.04] | [97.66, 102.69, 99.49] | 0.012 | 8332.33 | 30.0763 | [86.0, 77.6, 87.0, 80.8] | [6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 6.0, 6.0] | In touch - ridden over 2f out - one pace final furlong |
| Horse | Number | Draw | Age | ML Win Prob | Last 3 First Pct. | Last 3 Final 6f Pct. | Last 3 Final 4f Pct | Last 3 Fin. Pct. | Win Prob. | Fair Odds | Clas Rating | FN_figs | Last 4 Dist. | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISSION SMART | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0.348 | [81.13, 95.03, 96.38] | [104.03, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.77, 102.69, 101.91] | [103.62, 101.93, 100.88] | 19.528 | 4.12085 | 27.2614 | [81.92, 89.2, 79.2, 88.76] | [8.0, 7.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Midfield - headway on inside from 2f out - not clear run and forced to switch over 1f out - soon ridden - driven inside final furlong - led 100yds out - headed 50yds out - soon held - kept on |
| FORTUNE MASTER | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0.125 | [85.18, 84.32, 84.71] | [102.99, 103.2, 103.1] | [100.27, 101.32, 100.03] | [99.65, 102.36, 97.24] | 19.125 | 4.22876 | 24.9911 | [84.5, 96.0, 82.0, 84.0] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Chased leader - ridden 2f out - every chance approaching final furlong - soon driven - no extra final 75yds |
| ZONE D | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0.222 | [93.31, 82.85, 83.75] | [100.0, 103.57, 103.34] | [103.72, 102.48, 101.36] | [102.15, 103.69, 99.39] | 15.715 | 5.36335 | 31.2002 | [nan, 82.4, 81.0, 87.0] | [nan, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Midfield - ridden and headway from over 2f out - not clear run and switched 1 1/2f out - kept on well final furlong - led 100yds out - ridden out |
| GREEN ENVY | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0.167 | [84.75, 97.58, 96.12] | [103.09, 100.83, 101.36] | [101.92, 99.49, 101.27] | [102.17, 99.57, 101.94] | 11.04 | 8.05797 | 24.2827 | [86.0, 84.8, 85.1, 82.72] | [7.0, 7.0, 8.0, 8.0, 7.0] | In touch in midfield on outside - ridden over 2f out - headway to chase leader 1f out - no extra final 100yds |
| GRACYLOVE | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0.067 | [85.29, 94.55, 96.18] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [104.51, 102.97, 102.02] | [99.85, 103.42, 101.65] | 9.038 | 10.0644 | 21.9731 | [85.24, 81.0, 72.8, 75.4] | [6.0, 5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Towards rear - ridden 2f out - kept on inside final furlong - never in contention |
| CITY LEGEND | 11 | 3 | 7 | 0.077 | [85.22, 85.19, 84.07] | [102.98, 102.98, 103.26] | [100.49, 102.27, 101.61] | [100.38, 102.54, 101.27] | 8.248 | 11.1242 | 27.529 | [69.0, 81.0, 78.5, 81.0] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Held up towards rear - pushed along from 2 1/2f out - ridden and stayed on well from 1 1/2f out - led 75yds out - ridden out |
| CHEERFUL LEADER | 1 | 12 | 5 | 0.111 | [95.7, 94.48, 83.16] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.3, 103.01, 105.33] | [101.28, 102.58, 100.44] | 7.231 | 12.8293 | 27.963 | [77.18, 80.76, 81.8, 68.3] | [8.25, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 7.0] | Slowly into stride - outpaced in rear - never a factor |
| TOP SCORE | 5 | 9 | 8 | 0.029 | [95.59, 103.88, 86.43] | [100.0, 102.68, 102.69] | [102.36, 102.38, 101.29] | [101.72, 104.94, 98.95] | 3.323 | 29.0933 | 26.6359 | [84.8, 70.6, 63.38, 72.0] | [6.0, 6.0, 8.25, 7.0, 7.0] | In touch - ridden over 2f out - weakened from 1 1/2f out |
| TAKINGUFURTHER | 4 | 13 | 6 | 0.059 | [97.4, 87.91, 87.43] | [100.0, 102.35, 102.45] | [101.35, 99.93, 99.69] | [99.03, 98.67, 98.05] | 2.608 | 37.3436 | 23.4775 | [74.6, 70.8, 78.5, 87.5] | [6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0] | Led - headed after 1 1/2f - tracked leaders - ridden 2 1/2f out - not clear run inside final furlong - no extra final 75yds |
| AMAZING LUCK | 13 | 11 | 6 | 0.024 | [93.19, 82.09, 104.12] | [102.5, 101.97, 102.58] | [101.7, 102.83, 102.59] | [101.25, 102.54, 101.37] | 2.244 | 43.5633 | 21.9277 | [47.95, 80.88, 76.4, 84.3] | [8.25, 8.0, 9.0, 8.25, 7.0] | Reared leaving stalls and started slowly - towards rear of midfield - ridden 2 1/2f out - kept on steadily final furlong |
| FULL SAILING | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0.01 | [98.35, 93.08, 85.76] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [100.85, 103.86, 104.33] | [98.8, 104.25, 98.9] | 0.804 | 123.378 | 17.2398 | [nan, 69.6, 68.0, 74.7] | [nan, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 7.0] | Towards rear - ridden over 2f out - kept on final furlong until eased final 50yds |
| GARLIC HERO | 12 | 10 | 4 | 0.015 | [92.1, 89.73, 101.76] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.19, 102.95, 99.14] | [96.17, 98.57, 93.99] | 0.731 | 135.799 | 12.118 | [70.4, 60.6, 76.0, 63.4] | [6.0, 5.0, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Led - ridden 1 1/2f out - headed over 1f out - weakened final furlong |
| ALEE KING PRAWN | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0.015 | [98.33, 86.48, 108.52] | [100.0, 102.67, 100.9] | [100.86, 100.01, 98.0] | [98.66, 98.54, 96.12] | 0.363 | 274.482 | 15.9987 | [nan, 65.6, 77.5, 51.18] | [nan, 6.0, 7.0, 8.25, 7.0] | In touch - ridden 3f out - lost place inside 2f out - soon hampered and well beaten |
| HAPPY RUBY | 14 | 14 | 4 | 0.01 | [94.2, 94.49, 96.12] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [103.17, 103.01, 102.06] | [102.77, 101.02, 100.01] | 0.002 | 49999 | 9.96245 | [59.0, 57.0, 63.2, 62.0] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0] | Always in rear |
| Horse | Number | Draw | Age | ML Win Prob | Last 3 First Pct. | Last 3 Final 6f Pct. | Last 3 Final 4f Pct | Last 3 Fin. Pct. | Win Prob. | Fair Odds | Clas Rating | FN_figs | Last 4 Dist. | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SERIOUS LIAISON | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0.167 | [93.54, 91.89, 82.97] | [100.0, 100.0, 103.54] | [103.57, 104.62, 103.0] | [104.33, 104.88, 103.94] | 22.118 | 3.5212 | 21.8876 | [81.8, 81.0, 86.4, 87.0] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 8.0] | Towards rear - ridden and headway from 2f out - not clear run over 1f out - stayed on well final furlong - led last stride |
| HORSESAIN BOLT | 3 | 13 | 5 | 0.143 | [95.67, 82.98, 84.85] | [101.53, 103.54, 103.07] | [100.12, 100.98, 102.18] | [100.31, 100.2, 102.59] | 9.985 | 9.01502 | 28.6267 | [87.4, 87.02, 93.0, 84.5] | [7.0, 8.0, 7.0, 7.0, 8.0] | Towards rear of midfield - took closer order on outside 3f out - ridden and kept on well from 2f out - not able to challenge |
| CHARGE ON | 14 | 3 | 4 | 0.048 | [84.95, 83.94, 106.14] | [103.04, 103.29, 101.79] | [102.6, 101.51, 101.58] | [103.62, 102.95, 99.91] | 9.817 | 9.18641 | 26.5752 | [87.7, 86.0, 84.5, 84.3] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 8.25, 8.0] | Tracked leaders - chased leader after 2 1/2f - ridden over 2f out - driven and no extra final furlong |
| AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 7 | 12 | 5 | 0.111 | [81.63, 91.83, 93.13] | [103.9, 103.06, 102.52] | [102.93, 102.71, 104.24] | [102.5, 102.66, 104.68] | 9.481 | 9.54741 | 28.3854 | [89.0, 90.8, 95.81, 89.05] | [7.0, 7.0, 8.0, 8.0, 8.0] | Raced keenly - in touch in midfield - tracked leaders 2 1/2f out - ridden over 2f out - driven and pressed leader final furlong - kept on well - not quite able to challenge |
| NATURAL STORM | 11 | 9 | 4 | 0.077 | [82.54, 83.58, 88.53] | [101.52, 102.16, 104.08] | [101.8, 101.83, 106.49] | [103.63, 101.77, 106.01] | 9.276 | 9.78051 | 28.5993 | [89.0, 90.82, 89.82, 80.6] | [9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 10.0, 8.0] | Held up in rear - ridden 2 1/2f out - kept on inside final furlong - never dangerous |
| KYRUS UNICORN | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0.048 | [102.15, 82.61, 91.08] | [103.4, 103.64, 103.37] | [105.32, 102.12, 105.27] | [108.51, 100.24, 106.36] | 8.313 | 11.0294 | 27.0626 | [94.25, 79.82, 85.0, 82.88] | [8.0, 8.25, 7.0, 8.0, 8.0] | Towards rear - hampered over 2f out - not clear run inside 2f out - switched towards inside and ridden 1 1/2f out - driven and stayed on final furlong - never dangerous |
| LOOKING GREAT | 10 | 10 | 4 | 0.25 | [94.14, 108.66, 84.68] | [102.12, 100.85, 100.7] | [100.85, 100.72, 100.43] | [100.27, 100.57, 99.42] | 7.6 | 12.1579 | 30.9227 | [87.0, 92.2, 89.2, 91.85] | [7.0, 8.0, 8.25, 9.0, 8.0] | In touch - ridden over 2f out - led 1f out - headed 100yds out - soon no chance with winner - kept on |
| BEAUTY DAY | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0.125 | [95.86, 96.56, 94.64] | [101.46, 101.2, 101.93] | [99.61, 100.88, 103.4] | [98.14, 100.73, 103.31] | 6.415 | 14.5885 | 28.595 | [98.81, 91.72, 89.72, 88.58] | [8.0, 8.0, 8.0, 8.0, 8.0] | Led - ridden 2f out - driven and pressed final furlong - kept on well until headed and no extra close home |
| SO WE JOY | 12 | 14 | 5 | 0.077 | [96.98, 81.29, 85.02] | [100.0, 103.99, 103.03] | [101.58, 104.06, 101.06] | [98.26, 103.74, 100.32] | 6.306 | 14.8579 | 27.9143 | [77.5, 81.6, 78.5, 92.0] | [7.0, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0, 8.0] | Towards rear of midfield - short of room but making headway from 2f out - not clear run over 1f out - ridden inside final furlong - stayed on strongly final 100yds - led close home |
| SACRED IBIS | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0.02 | [81.88, 91.37, 80.02] | [103.83, 103.25, 104.34] | [103.19, 103.59, 103.67] | [105.29, 104.23, 101.98] | 3.221 | 30.0463 | 29.4632 | [90.78, 80.5, 89.72, 86.5] | [8.0, 7.0, 8.0, 7.0, 8.0] | Slowly into stride - in rear - ridden 2 1/2f out - wide in stride - kept on from 1 1/2f out - never dangerous |
| ANGEL OF MY EYES | 8 | 7 | 4 | 0.143 | [105.05, 108.33, 113.31] | [102.21, 100.97, 99.28] | [101.82, 100.45, 96.69] | [103.13, 100.69, 90.55] | 2.872 | 33.8189 | 29.3033 | [88.0, 90.81, 78.6, 46.88] | [7.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.0] | Led - headed 2 1/2f out - soon ridden - weakened 1 1/2f out - eased inside final furlong |
| MR ALDAN | 1 | 11 | 5 | 0.029 | [93.03, 90.92, 93.46] | [100.0, 100.0, 102.39] | [103.89, 105.26, 103.43] | [103.02, 102.05, 102.62] | 2.715 | 35.8324 | 23.6503 | [70.05, 77.4, 63.0, 76.22] | [8.0, 6.0, 6.0, 8.0, 8.0] | Midfield - ridden 2 1/2f out - hung left and hampered rivals over 2f out - weakened final furlong |
| SPARKY TRAIL | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.029 | [86.14, 80.99, 91.31] | [102.76, 104.07, 103.28] | [100.37, 103.92, 104.43] | [97.63, 103.47, 105.85] | 1.786 | 54.991 | 23.2477 | [nan, 88.0, 76.5, 81.92] | [nan, 7.0, 7.0, 8.0, 8.0] | Took keen hold - towards rear - wide into straight - ridden 2f out - stayed on final furlong - never dangerous |
| JOLLY HONOUR | 13 | 1 | 6 | 0.015 | [105.73, 83.48, 105.25] | [101.94, 103.41, 102.13] | [99.15, 102.93, 101.31] | [95.27, 101.18, 99.6] | 0.095 | 1051.63 | 25.6303 | [76.38, 67.72, 71.0, 78.32] | [8.25, 8.25, 7.0, 8.25, 8.0] | Midfield - ridden over 2f out - weakened from over 1f out |
| Horse | Number | Draw | Age | ML Win Prob | Last 3 First Pct. | Last 3 Final 6f Pct. | Last 3 Final 4f Pct | Last 3 Fin. Pct. | Win Prob. | Fair Odds | Clas Rating | FN_figs | Last 4 Dist. | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FORTE | 12 | 13 | 4 | 0.222 | [84.63, 84.8, 85.07] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [104.76, 104.69, 104.59] | [100.4, 98.89, 99.66] | 19.432 | 4.14615 | 33.301 | [nan, 89.0, 88.1, 79.8] | [nan, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 6.0] | In touch - ridden and effort 2f out - every chance 1f out - weakened final 100yds |
| JUNEAU PARK | 6 | 6 | 5 | 0.2 | [83.86, 92.61, 94.32] | [103.31, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.26, 104.16, 103.1] | [103.95, 103.43, 104.23] | 15.377 | 5.50322 | 32.2089 | [88.0, 79.0, 93.8, 85.4] | [7.0, 7.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Held up towards rear - ridden over 2f out - driven and stayed on from 1 1/2f out - not going pace to challenge |
| ALL IN MIND | 1 | 12 | 4 | 0.125 | [95.64, 96.07, 93.94] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.33, 102.09, 103.33] | [100.2, 99.67, 103.52] | 13.24 | 6.55287 | 33.4228 | [91.4, 81.0, 84.0, 97.2] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Towards rear - ridden inside 2f out - stayed on from over 1f out - nearest finish |
| WHAT A LEGEND | 11 | 11 | 6 | 0.048 | [95.92, 97.29, 97.69] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.17, 101.41, 101.2] | [101.91, 99.94, 99.22] | 9.942 | 9.05834 | 27.0867 | [87.6, 88.8, 77.4, 84.2] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Midfield - ridden inside 2f out - headway from 1 1/2f out - no extra final 100yds |
| GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0.077 | [85.49, 96.97, 83.08] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [104.43, 101.59, 105.37] | [99.38, 102.37, 101.41] | 9.726 | 9.28172 | 31.8823 | [91.6, 90.0, 82.4, 89.3] | [5.0, 5.0, 6.0, 5.0, 6.0] | Towards rear of midfield - ridden and headway from 2f out - driven and kept on final furlong |
| BIG FORTUNE | 3 | 8 | 6 | 0.077 | [94.07, 95.43, 97.47] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [103.25, 102.45, 101.32] | [104.51, 102.25, 99.34] | 8.715 | 10.4745 | 29.1029 | [85.8, 87.2, 94.2, 82.8] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Tracked leaders on outside - prominent over 2f out - ridden 2f out - weakened steadily final furlong |
| CHANCHENG PRINCE | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0.167 | [84.22, 84.3, 94.32] | [103.22, 103.2, 100.0] | [101.86, 101.8, 103.1] | [101.66, 102.24, 104.73] | 7.215 | 12.86 | 29.2763 | [79.6, 91.0, 83.0, 92.0] | [6.0, 7.0, 7.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Midfield on outside - ridden over 2f out - headway from inside 2f out - stayed on well to lead 100yds out - ridden out |
| MAJESTIC STAR | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0.125 | [nan, nan, 95.02] | [nan, nan, 100.0] | [nan, nan, 102.69] | [nan, nan, 101.01] | 7.072 | 13.1403 | 29.0536 | [nan, nan, nan, 87.2] | [nan, nan, nan, 6.0, 6.0] | Bunny-hopped leaving stalls and started slowly - soon recovered and raced in midfield - ridden and good headway from 1 1/2f out - no further impression final 100yds |
| PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 13 | 10 | 5 | 0.038 | [83.69, 92.81, 96.61] | [103.36, 100.0, 100.0] | [101.27, 104.03, 101.78] | [101.19, 101.8, 101.32] | 4.348 | 21.9991 | 28.9071 | [87.0, 84.0, 83.4, 84.4] | [7.0, 7.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | In touch in midfield - outpaced and no impression from 2 1/2f out |
| LOYAL BABY | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0.059 | [nan, 83.73, 96.6] | [nan, 100.0, 100.0] | [nan, 105.1, 101.79] | [nan, 98.42, 101.19] | 2.149 | 45.5333 | 24.6102 | [nan, nan, 62.6, 83.4] | [nan, nan, 5.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Midfield - ridden and kept on same pace from 1 1/2f out |
| WAR OF COURAGE | 10 | 7 | 4 | 0.059 | [85.24, 83.58, 97.46] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [104.53, 105.16, 101.32] | [100.16, 100.96, 99.68] | 1.201 | 82.2639 | 29.9607 | [81.0, 81.2, 87.8, 86.4] | [6.0, 5.0, 5.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Chased leader - ridden to lead narrowly 2f out - headed over 1f out - no extra final 100yds |
| ROYAL AGILITY | 2 | 9 | 5 | 0.015 | [nan, 94.31, 96.17] | [nan, 100.0, 100.0] | [nan, 103.11, 102.03] | [nan, 102.42, 99.51] | 1.12 | 88.2857 | 14.4889 | [nan, nan, 72.6, 67.4] | [nan, nan, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Always towards rear |
| CHICKEN DANCE | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0.048 | [97.91, 87.16, 95.8] | [100.0, 102.52, 100.0] | [101.08, 99.22, 102.24] | [98.78, 95.8, 102.06] | 0.463 | 214.983 | 28.0611 | [92.4, 84.0, 78.0, 80.6] | [6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 6.0, 6.0] | In touch in midfield - ridden over 2f out - driven and weakened final 150yds |
| Horse | Number | Draw | Age | ML Win Prob | Last 3 First Pct. | Last 3 Final 6f Pct. | Last 3 Final 4f Pct | Last 3 Fin. Pct. | Win Prob. | Fair Odds | Clas Rating | FN_figs | Last 4 Dist. | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PING HAI BRAVO | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0.143 | [84.63, 84.4, 82.71] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [104.76, 104.85, 105.51] | [100.48, 101.86, 102.21] | 16.83 | 4.94177 | 35.4907 | [92.0, 88.7, 91.0, 97.0] | [5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 6.0] | Midfield - ridden and steady headway from over 2f out - short of room 1 1/2f out - driven and stayed on inside final furlong - led 50yds out - readily |
| DUKE WAI | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0.143 | [93.12, 94.48, 83.32] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [103.83, 103.01, 105.27] | [102.81, 103.69, 101.44] | 15.094 | 5.62515 | 36.8645 | [91.2, 88.8, 101.98, 95.6] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 6.0] | In touch - ridden 2 1/2f out - chased clear leader 2f out - stayed on final furlong - not pace of winner final 50yds |
| CALIFORNIA RAD | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0.167 | [93.35, 86.51, 85.72] | [100.0, 102.67, 102.85] | [103.69, 99.78, 100.94] | [104.0, 97.92, 98.93] | 14.043 | 6.12099 | 32.9391 | [96.0, 93.0, 86.5, 94.0] | [6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0, 6.0] | Chased leader - ridden 2f out - led 1 1/2f out - headed 100yds out - soon no extra |
| WIND N GRASS | 8 | 9 | 5 | 0.167 | [95.71, 95.2, 94.93] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.29, 102.58, 102.75] | [101.28, 101.26, 102.27] | 10.743 | 8.30839 | 29.5889 | [86.8, 90.2, 92.0, 92.0] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Held up towards rear - ridden inside 2f out - briefly not clear run 1 1/2f out - stayed on strongly final furlong - hung right 50yds out - led close home - readily |
| THE CROWN | 13 | 11 | 4 | 0.048 | [86.03, 82.48, 83.56] | [102.78, 103.67, 103.39] | [100.81, 101.66, 101.48] | [98.26, 100.45, 99.68] | 8.673 | 10.53 | 32.7432 | [91.6, 86.0, 90.5, 91.0] | [6.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 6.0] | Midfield - took closer order and bumped 2 1/2f out - chased leaders when ridden 2f out - no extra final furlong |
| RACING FIGHTER | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0.048 | [95.91, 95.77, 94.66] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.18, 102.26, 102.9] | [100.99, 102.6, 101.1] | 7.178 | 12.9315 | 30.8207 | [90.6, 93.0, 97.0, 84.4] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | In rear - ridden inside 2f out - wide into straight - kept on steadily final furlong - never dangerous |
| CZARSON | 7 | 14 | 4 | 0.038 | [97.17, 84.19, 95.39] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [101.48, 104.93, 102.48] | [99.35, 99.39, 101.16] | 6.784 | 13.7406 | 30.898 | [93.0, 75.0, 77.7, 86.4] | [6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Towards rear of midfield on outside - ridden over 2f out - wide into straight - stayed on final 100yds - nearest finish |
| HINCHINLOVE | 12 | 10 | 6 | 0.111 | [98.4, 94.2, 97.17] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [100.82, 103.18, 101.48] | [98.65, 102.74, 101.12] | 6.681 | 13.9678 | 31.2644 | [66.8, 88.4, 99.0, 92.2] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | Led - headed after 1 1/2f - ridden 2f out - kept on same pace final furlong |
| LOCKHEED | 11 | 12 | 7 | 0.091 | [95.13, 94.91, 94.81] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [102.63, 102.76, 102.81] | [102.37, 104.85, 102.52] | 5.246 | 18.0621 | 30.9195 | [87.4, 96.0, 87.0, 92.76] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] | In touch - tracked leaders going well 2f out - ridden 1 1/2f out - kept on well final furlong - not quite able to challenge |
| SEATTLE CHOICE | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0.111 | [85.79, 85.57, 85.87] | [102.84, 102.89, 102.82] | [102.05, 101.47, 103.62] | [103.99, 102.73, 105.36] | 3.385 | 28.5421 | 36.2886 | [92.1, 90.5, 97.8, 97.1] | [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 6.0] | Took keen hold - pressed leader to over 4f out - close up - effort and regained second over 1f out - ridden and led inside final furlong - comfortably |
| LUCKY PATCH | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0.059 | [84.7, 97.94, 85.55] | [103.1, 100.71, 100.13] | [102.09, 98.33, 101.4] | [102.09, 97.21, 102.29] | 2.497 | 39.0481 | 37.7756 | [97.0, 101.8, 99.68, 85.55] | [7.0, 7.0, 8.0, 9.0, 6.0] | Raced keenly - tracked leaders - ridden and pressed leader 2f out - driven 1 1/2f out - weakened over 1f out |
| SUNNY BOY | 9 | 2 | 6 | 0.02 | [97.81, 97.26, 84.52] | [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] | [101.13, 101.43, 104.8] | [99.35, 98.6, 99.9] | 1.475 | 66.7966 | 29.8408 | [78.2, 86.0, 76.8, 84.4] | [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 6.0] | Chased leader - ridden over 2f out - faded from 1 1/2f out |
| INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 10 | 6 | 5 | 0.125 | [101.66, 84.68, 83.25] | [103.61, 103.11, 103.47] | [103.62, 100.18, 102.42] | [105.76, 99.29, 102.89] | 1.344 | 73.4048 | 32.9648 | [83.5, 82.75, 92.5, 86.8] | [8.0, 8.25, 7.0, 7.0, 6.0] | Towards rear of midfield - headway into midfield approaching 2f out - not clear run when pushed along inside 2f out - stayed on final furlong - not quite able to challenge |
| WIND SPEEDER | 14 | 13 | 3 | 0.01 | [nan, nan, 86.56] | [nan, nan, 100.0] | [nan, nan, 104.04] | [nan, nan, 96.69] | 0.027 | 3702.7 | nan | [nan, nan, nan, 55.8] | [nan, nan, nan, 5.0, 6.0] | Midfield - lost place over 2f out - soon struggling - eased inside final furlong |