2021-03-21
| Home Team | Away Team | Home Seed | Away Seed | Home Win Probability | Away Win Probability | Home Point Projection | Away Points Projection | Spread | Total Point Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| michigan | louisiana-state | 1 | 8 | 0.6027 | 0.3973 | 78.5 | 74.7 | 3.8 | 153.3 |
| gonzaga | oklahoma | 1 | 8 | 0.83 | 0.17 | 86.7 | 73.7 | 13 | 160.4 |
| alabama | maryland | 2 | 10 | 0.6678 | 0.3322 | 73 | 67.2 | 5.8 | 140.3 |
| iowa | oregon | 2 | 7 | 0.6419 | 0.3581 | 79.7 | 74.4 | 5.3 | 154 |
| kansas | southern-california | 3 | 6 | 0.3515 | 0.6485 | 66.2 | 70.4 | -4.2 | 136.5 |
| florida-state | colorado | 4 | 5 | 0.2913 | 0.7087 | 69.2 | 75.8 | -6.5 | 145 |
| creighton | ohio | 5 | 13 | 0.6993 | 0.3007 | 79.2 | 72.2 | 7 | 151.4 |
| abilene-christian | ucla | 14 | 11 | 0.4278 | 0.5722 | 67.2 | 68.9 | -1.7 | 136.1 |