2021-03-18
Team | Seed | Region | Final 32 Probability | Sweet Sixteen Probability | Elite Eight Probability | Final Four Probability | Final Game Probability | Champion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
gonzaga | 1 | west | 0.9731 | 0.7893 | 0.5903 | 0.3768 | 0.1717 | 0.0554 |
baylor | 1 | south | 0.9171 | 0.6879 | 0.4673 | 0.2657 | 0.1062 | 0.0254 |
houston | 2 | midwest | 0.9165 | 0.7088 | 0.452 | 0.2414 | 0.0958 | 0.0222 |
michigan | 1 | east | 0.8984 | 0.5958 | 0.3612 | 0.1866 | 0.0656 | 0.0183 |
alabama | 2 | east | 0.8741 | 0.5992 | 0.3505 | 0.1519 | 0.0477 | 0.0123 |
iowa | 2 | west | 0.8172 | 0.4998 | 0.2765 | 0.0894 | 0.0279 | 0.0066 |
tennessee | 5 | midwest | 0.7726 | 0.501 | 0.2464 | 0.0934 | 0.0291 | 0.0051 |
colorado | 5 | east | 0.7621 | 0.4421 | 0.1758 | 0.0731 | 0.0196 | 0.0044 |
san-diego-state | 6 | midwest | 0.6705 | 0.4218 | 0.1751 | 0.0746 | 0.0234 | 0.0041 |
brigham-young | 6 | east | 0.6097 | 0.3735 | 0.1703 | 0.0632 | 0.0166 | 0.0038 |
loyola-il | 8 | midwest | 0.6057 | 0.3323 | 0.1695 | 0.0636 | 0.0194 | 0.0033 |
illinois | 1 | midwest | 0.8024 | 0.3947 | 0.197 | 0.0708 | 0.0207 | 0.0033 |
southern-california | 6 | west | 0.6173 | 0.366 | 0.1749 | 0.0512 | 0.0146 | 0.0032 |
utah-state | 11 | south | 0.5512 | 0.2709 | 0.1454 | 0.0546 | 0.0163 | 0.0028 |
arkansas | 3 | south | 0.5197 | 0.2575 | 0.137 | 0.051 | 0.0151 | 0.0025 |
ohio-state | 2 | south | 0.8209 | 0.4256 | 0.1762 | 0.0581 | 0.0154 | 0.0023 |
florida-state | 4 | east | 0.705 | 0.3375 | 0.1183 | 0.0436 | 0.0101 | 0.0021 |
kansas | 3 | west | 0.7142 | 0.324 | 0.1349 | 0.0334 | 0.0083 | 0.0016 |
colgate | 14 | south | 0.4539 | 0.2099 | 0.1045 | 0.0361 | 0.01 | 0.0016 |
creighton | 5 | west | 0.5883 | 0.3197 | 0.0755 | 0.0292 | 0.0073 | 0.0014 |
florida | 7 | south | 0.5944 | 0.3108 | 0.1248 | 0.0396 | 0.01 | 0.0014 |
villanova | 5 | south | 0.6124 | 0.3191 | 0.1025 | 0.0387 | 0.0098 | 0.0014 |
virginia | 4 | west | 0.6671 | 0.3283 | 0.0776 | 0.029 | 0.0071 | 0.0014 |
louisiana-state | 8 | east | 0.4977 | 0.1634 | 0.072 | 0.0258 | 0.0057 | 0.0011 |
texas-tech | 6 | south | 0.4268 | 0.1865 | 0.0883 | 0.0289 | 0.0076 | 0.0011 |
west-virginia | 3 | midwest | 0.7214 | 0.313 | 0.0988 | 0.0343 | 0.0084 | 0.0011 |
st-bonaventure | 9 | east | 0.4641 | 0.1503 | 0.0645 | 0.0228 | 0.005 | 0.001 |
oregon | 7 | west | 0.5213 | 0.2127 | 0.0907 | 0.0212 | 0.0049 | 0.0009 |
texas | 3 | east | 0.5315 | 0.2101 | 0.0743 | 0.0207 | 0.004 | 0.0007 |
north-texas | 13 | south | 0.5084 | 0.2402 | 0.0686 | 0.0233 | 0.0054 | 0.0007 |
wisconsin | 9 | south | 0.5634 | 0.1515 | 0.067 | 0.0229 | 0.0053 | 0.0007 |
oklahoma | 8 | west | 0.5366 | 0.0974 | 0.0442 | 0.0157 | 0.0036 | 0.0007 |
ucla | 11 | east | 0.3709 | 0.1848 | 0.0659 | 0.0187 | 0.0037 | 0.0007 |
connecticut | 7 | east | 0.5395 | 0.1777 | 0.0685 | 0.0185 | 0.0034 | 0.0006 |
virginia-commonwealth | 10 | west | 0.4433 | 0.1664 | 0.0661 | 0.0138 | 0.0029 | 0.0005 |
georgia-tech | 9 | midwest | 0.3598 | 0.1533 | 0.0613 | 0.0168 | 0.0038 | 0.0005 |
oklahoma-state | 4 | midwest | 0.5595 | 0.211 | 0.0724 | 0.0185 | 0.0039 | 0.0004 |
drake | 11 | west | 0.3587 | 0.1692 | 0.0602 | 0.0121 | 0.0025 | 0.0004 |
purdue | 4 | south | 0.4556 | 0.2036 | 0.0553 | 0.0174 | 0.0037 | 0.0004 |
abilene-christian | 14 | east | 0.4353 | 0.1495 | 0.0462 | 0.0114 | 0.0019 | 0.0003 |
california-santa-barbara | 12 | west | 0.3891 | 0.1749 | 0.0309 | 0.0095 | 0.0018 | 0.0003 |
missouri | 9 | west | 0.4369 | 0.0656 | 0.0264 | 0.0083 | 0.0016 | 0.0003 |
virginia-tech | 10 | south | 0.3711 | 0.1516 | 0.0463 | 0.0112 | 0.0021 | 0.0002 |
maryland | 10 | east | 0.4161 | 0.1121 | 0.0376 | 0.0084 | 0.0013 | 0.0002 |
syracuse | 11 | midwest | 0.3021 | 0.1309 | 0.0333 | 0.0092 | 0.0018 | 0.0002 |
clemson | 7 | midwest | 0.5027 | 0.1101 | 0.0363 | 0.0097 | 0.0018 | 0.0002 |
north-carolina | 8 | south | 0.4087 | 0.0828 | 0.0315 | 0.0089 | 0.0016 | 0.0002 |
winthrop | 12 | south | 0.3572 | 0.1407 | 0.0306 | 0.0082 | 0.0014 | 0.0001 |
rutgers | 10 | midwest | 0.4661 | 0.0972 | 0.0311 | 0.008 | 0.0014 | 0.0001 |
liberty | 13 | midwest | 0.399 | 0.126 | 0.0357 | 0.0075 | 0.0013 | 0.0001 |
north-carolina-greensboro | 13 | east | 0.2641 | 0.0738 | 0.0142 | 0.003 | 0.0004 | 0 |
ohio | 13 | west | 0.3079 | 0.097 | 0.0113 | 0.0025 | 0.0004 | 0 |
georgetown | 12 | east | 0.2063 | 0.0622 | 0.0107 | 0.0021 | 0.0002 | 0 |
eastern-washington | 14 | west | 0.2632 | 0.0668 | 0.0151 | 0.0017 | 0.0002 | 0 |
oregon-state | 12 | midwest | 0.1928 | 0.0662 | 0.0144 | 0.0023 | 0.0003 | 0 |
morehead-state | 14 | midwest | 0.2539 | 0.056 | 0.0093 | 0.0017 | 0.0002 | 0 |
grand-canyon | 15 | west | 0.1622 | 0.0441 | 0.0102 | 0.0011 | 0.0001 | 0 |
drexel | 16 | midwest | 0.1768 | 0.0355 | 0.0076 | 0.001 | 0.0001 | 0 |
iona | 15 | east | 0.1119 | 0.0302 | 0.0061 | 0.0007 | 0.0001 | 0 |
hartford | 16 | south | 0.0729 | 0.0175 | 0.0037 | 0.0005 | 0 | 0 |
mount-st-marys | 16 | east | 0.0824 | 0.0145 | 0.0024 | 0.0003 | 0 | 0 |
oral-roberts | 15 | south | 0.1666 | 0.0338 | 0.0045 | 0.0005 | 0 | 0 |
cleveland-state | 15 | midwest | 0.0732 | 0.0195 | 0.0032 | 0.0004 | 0 | 0 |
norfolk-state | 16 | west | 0.0238 | 0.0037 | 0.0006 | 0.0001 | 0 | 0 |