Hong Kong Horse Racing: Happy Valley 23 March

2021-03-23

Race Number 1

Horse Number Draw Age ML Win Prob Last 3 First Pct. Last 3 Final 6f Pct. Last 3 Final 4f Pct Last 3 Fin. Pct. Win Prob. Fair Odds Clas Rating FN_figs Last 4 Dist. Comment
READY CONQUEROR 5 4 4 0.143 [89.22, 88.25, 89.76] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [103.12, 103.44, 102.94] [100.27, 102.0, 99.61] 23.748 3.21088 19.2324 [74.72, 78.0, 73.8, 67.5] [5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] Chased leader - ridden 1 1/2f out - driven final furlong - weakened final 100yds
LITTLE THUNDER 1 5 5 0.286 [94.68, 94.32, 97.97] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [102.89, 103.1, 101.05] [103.81, 102.02, 98.6] 18.18 4.50055 23.525 [76.2, 71.4, 77.98, 76.2] [5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0] Midfield - ridden 2f out - stayed on well from over 1f out - went 2nd 125yds out - no chance with winner
VIVA MAMA 7 10 4 0.077 [90.38, 90.75, 88.07] [100.0, 100.0, 102.31] [102.73, 102.62, 99.12] [99.46, 99.61, 97.13] 13.344 6.494 19.4831 [76.2, 77.72, 72.4, 74.5] [6.0, 5.0, 5.0, 7.0, 5.0] Prominent - led after 1 1/2f - ridden 2 1/2f out - joined 2f out - headed 1f out - weakened final 100yds
FLYING MONKEY 10 8 8 0.111 [98.76, 89.1, 90.01] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [100.63, 103.15, 102.85] [97.22, 101.05, 100.59] 12.907 6.74773 21.9325 [73.8, 65.0, 73.8, 74.5] [5.0, 6.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] In touch - tracked leaders on outside 2f out - ridden 1 1/2f out - driven over 1f out - every chance 100yds out - kept on
WINNING WARRIOR 12 2 5 0.02 [97.7, 100.27, 89.81] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [101.19, 99.87, 102.92] [99.61, 96.43, 99.11] 11.124 7.98957 14.9361 [65.0, 73.6, 65.0, 68.2] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 5.0] In touch - ridden 2f out - no extra final furlong
DR EQ 4 12 4 0.167 [89.27, 90.61, 89.93] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [103.1, 102.66, 102.88] [100.79, 99.08, 99.67] 6.509 14.3633 16.6401 [74.06, 64.1, 75.9, 65.4] [5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] Tracked leaders - ridden 2f out - weakened inside final furlong
AFTER ME 3 6 6 0.125 [95.47, 89.43, 96.74] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [102.43, 103.04, 101.71] [101.09, 101.33, 103.12] 6.016 15.6223 21.0739 [76.4, 74.2, 74.5, 72.6] [6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 6.0, 5.0] Towards rear - ridden and kept on from 1 1/2f out - never dangerous
FOR FUN'S SAKE 9 9 4 0.048 [82.35, 81.01, 87.1] [103.71, 104.07, 102.53] [103.01, 102.91, 99.23] [103.55, 103.55, 96.42] 3.192 30.3283 17.2599 [62.0, 75.0, 59.5, 68.0] [8.25, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 5.0] In touch - ridden over 2f out - weakened final furlong
I'M THE CONQUIST 6 7 7 0.038 [102.26, 85.94, 86.64] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [98.91, 104.26, 104.01] [91.14, 103.13, 103.05] 2.547 38.2619 21.1026 [82.8, 24.56, 69.5, 63.3] [6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] Always towards rear
JOY AVENUE 8 11 4 0.091 [105.96, 113.02, 86.17] [101.86, 99.37, 100.0] [101.74, 95.38, 104.18] [103.44, 88.37, 103.36] 1.012 97.8142 13.9295 [22.92, 76.4, 14.0, 78.0] [6.0, 8.25, 8.25, 5.0, 5.0] Towards rear of midfield - ridden 1 1/2f out - driven and stayed on strongly final furlong - led 50yds out - readily
SOCCER MASTER R14 14 6 0.038 [82.27, 85.05, 84.71] [103.73, 103.02, 103.1] [102.91, 101.19, 100.24] [104.14, 100.31, 99.01] 0.619 160.551 20.7551 [84.1, 82.9, 67.5, 75.0] [7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 5.0] Raced keenly - towards rear of midfield - ridden 2f out - weakened final furlong
LUCKY VICTOR 11 3 4 0.029 [109.1, 90.94, 98.69] [100.7, 99.54, 100.0] [100.99, 99.68, 100.67] [102.54, 99.64, 100.82] 0.426 233.742 12.392 [73.46, 63.7, 65.5, 70.2] [9.0, 8.25, 9.0, 6.0, 5.0] Tracked leaders - ridden 2f out - driven and weakened over 1f out
RED MAJESTY R13 13 4 0.029 [101.83, 85.43, 99.51] [99.41, 102.93, 100.0] [96.21, 101.38, 100.24] [92.72, 100.71, 96.29] 0.268 372.134 19.3473 [79.6, 65.88, 72.0, 69.0] [8.25, 8.0, 7.0, 6.0, 5.0] In touch in midfield - took closer order from 2 1/2f out - ridden and chased clear leader inside 2f out - driven and no extra final furlong
WINNER'S HEART 2 1 5 0.038 [99.97, 97.63, 98.58] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [100.01, 101.23, 100.72] [96.99, 97.59, 98.5] 0.108 924.926 21.0241 [69.1, 62.6, 58.0, 63.8] [5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0] Towards rear of midfield - took closer order from 3f out - wide into straight and lost place - ridden and no impression from 1 1/2f out

Race Number 2

Horse Number Draw Age ML Win Prob Last 3 First Pct. Last 3 Final 6f Pct. Last 3 Final 4f Pct Last 3 Fin. Pct. Win Prob. Fair Odds Clas Rating FN_figs Last 4 Dist. Comment
VIRTUS STAR 8 11 5 0.143 [106.61, 106.58, 105.74] [101.61, 101.62, 101.94] [101.45, 102.74, 101.6] [103.28, 106.08, 102.0] 22.028 3.53968 22.7231 [75.78, 77.68, 69.88, 74.68] [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Towards rear of midfield - ridden over 2f out - keeping on when not clear run over 1f out - driven and stayed on well final furlong - nearest finish
TAILOR MADE 4 1 5 0.222 [96.5, 105.42, 108.79] [101.22, 102.06, 100.81] [99.46, 103.14, 99.85] [96.2, 106.88, 99.89] 19.516 4.124 22.0642 [69.2, 58.4, 71.3, 83.81] [8.0, 8.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Midfield - ridden 2 1/2f out - stayed on well final furlong - every chance closing stages - just held
PRESIDENT STAR 11 2 5 0.2 [89.89, 86.94, 107.34] [98.9, 100.91, 101.34] [99.87, 100.46, 100.84] [98.9, 102.33, 100.95] 18.842 4.30729 20.4737 [75.0, 70.2, 77.5, 78.0] [8.25, 9.0, 9.0, 8.25, 8.25] In touch - ridden over 2f out - headway from 1 1/2f out - stayed on final furlong - led close home
WELL DRAGON 9 8 5 0.067 [94.76, 85.62, 96.41] [100.0, 102.88, 100.0] [102.85, 101.67, 101.9] [101.51, 99.37, 101.61] 16.708 4.98516 18.291 [70.0, 78.2, 61.5, 71.6] [6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 6.0, 8.25] Towards rear of midfield - ridden 1 1/2f out - kept on steadily final furlong - never dangerous
NITRO EXPRESS 12 12 9 0.125 [102.88, 104.0, 109.77] [103.09, 102.63, 100.46] [103.05, 103.49, 99.4] [106.89, 107.27, 98.8] 11.964 7.35841 25.0374 [84.52, 75.78, 69.88, 83.05] [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] In touch in midfield - ridden and kept on from over 2f out - driven and rallied inside final furlong - led narrowly 50yds out - headed close home
GALAXY RACER 10 4 5 0.167 [83.97, 105.17, 108.13] [103.29, 102.16, 101.04] [101.91, 101.9, 99.99] [101.43, 102.19, 100.26] 4.394 21.7583 19.2064 [71.0, 72.5, 77.53, 80.68] [7.0, 7.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Towards rear - ridden 2 1/2f out - stayed on final furlong - nearest finish
WONDER EXPRESS 6 5 5 0.048 [83.16, 85.85, 86.6] [100.0, 102.83, 102.65] [105.33, 100.01, 100.01] [100.46, 97.69, 98.35] 3.642 26.4574 23.3163 [83.5, 74.8, 67.0, 71.0] [7.0, 5.0, 7.0, 7.0, 8.25] Midfield on wide outside - ridden over 2f out - wide into straight and lost place - soon no impression
DIAMOND STAR 2 10 5 0.077 [82.87, 106.01, 105.53] [103.57, 101.84, 102.02] [101.86, 101.42, 102.43] [102.88, 103.26, 106.01] 1.427 69.0771 20.3827 [77.2, 79.0, 78.4, 74.3] [6.0, 7.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Towards rear of midfield - ridden 2f out - headway from 1 1/2f out - no further impression final furlong
DESTIN 1 6 7 0.111 [86.32, 83.61, 82.91] [102.71, 103.38, 103.56] [100.37, 103.71, 102.24] [100.13, 102.76, 101.93] 1.076 91.9368 27.0944 [78.0, 82.5, 77.5, 71.0] [5.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 8.25] Towards rear of midfield - shaken up and headway from 2f out - not clear run from 1 1/2f out until well inside final furlong - coasted final 100yds
BRAVE POWER 3 3 4 0.059 [84.81, 99.24, 96.81] [103.08, 100.26, 101.11] [100.22, 97.68, 99.44] [100.84, 94.07, 96.73] 0.259 385.1 22.4468 [84.0, 81.5, 68.72, 79.45] [7.0, 7.0, 8.0, 8.0, 8.25] Midfield - ridden 2 1/2f out - driven 1 1/2f out - weakened final 100yds
RUNNING GUY 5 7 5 0.029 [96.43, 97.52, 105.53] [100.0, 100.0, 102.02] [101.89, 101.29, 101.99] [97.78, 99.46, 102.46] 0.086 1161.79 12.3574 [58.0, 55.0, 59.6, 80.88] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 8.25, 8.25] Towards rear - ridden inside 2f out - kept on final furlong - never dangerous
PRIME TIME 7 9 5 0.02 [83.66, 83.83, 98.6] [103.36, 103.32, 100.48] [101.89, 101.81, 99.49] [100.96, 100.39, 96.26] 0.058 1723.14 14.2823 [70.48, 65.0, 74.0, 57.3] [6.0, 7.0, 7.0, 8.0, 8.25] In touch in midfield - ridden over 2f out - hung right inside 2f out - weakened 1 1/2f

Race Number 3

Horse Number Draw Age ML Win Prob Last 3 First Pct. Last 3 Final 6f Pct. Last 3 Final 4f Pct Last 3 Fin. Pct. Win Prob. Fair Odds Clas Rating FN_figs Last 4 Dist. Comment
DREAM WARRIORS 3 8 5 0.125 [105.14, 105.31, 105.85] [102.18, 102.11, 101.9] [102.63, 101.63, 100.79] [105.33, 101.61, 100.81] 22.014 3.54256 25.7396 [82.62, 86.0, 76.88, 85.58] [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Held up towards rear - ridden 2f out - stayed on final furlong - nearest finish
BULLETPROOF 9 10 4 0.091 [95.48, 97.31, 85.69] [101.6, 100.93, 100.36] [100.71, 99.14, 101.02] [99.84, 96.6, 100.53] 16.86 4.9312 25.9874 [74.55, 80.08, 82.78, 85.4] [8.25, 8.0, 8.0, 9.0, 8.25] Led - headed after 2 1/2f - dropped to 3rd 3 1/2f out - ridden and chased leader leader 2f out - no extra final furlong
HAPPY WIN WIN 7 2 6 0.067 [95.13, 93.7, 106.86] [101.73, 102.29, 101.52] [100.37, 101.82, 100.32] [98.76, 101.71, 99.71] 14.463 5.91419 23.7571 [79.78, 88.0, 73.7, 77.5] [8.25, 8.0, 8.0, 8.25, 8.25] Towards rear - ridden 2 1/2f out - headway on inside from inside 2f out - driven and no extra inside final furlong
ALL BEST FRIENDS 12 12 7 0.1 [97.42, 93.84, 107.66] [100.0, 100.0, 101.22] [101.34, 103.39, 100.31] [99.14, 101.95, 101.2] 13.783 6.25531 23.848 [82.92, 81.6, 72.6, 84.0] [8.25, 6.0, 6.0, 8.25, 8.25] Dwelt start - towards rear - ridden 2f out - headway from 1 1/2f out - driven and stayed on well from 150yds out - led close home
ZHAN JIANG ROCKS 1 4 6 0.111 [106.21, 105.06, 104.69] [101.76, 102.21, 102.35] [101.31, 102.01, 102.67] [101.34, 103.02, 106.18] 8.187 11.2145 27.1057 [87.81, 82.62, 83.1, 71.92] [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Awkward leaving stalls - towards rear of midfield - ridden and no impression from 1 1/2f out
AEROSONIC 11 9 4 0.048 [98.18, 95.71, 106.5] [100.0, 100.0, 101.65] [100.94, 102.29, 101.4] [98.59, 100.55, 100.62] 7.56 12.2275 16.7459 [72.8, 68.4, 69.0, 69.47] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 8.25, 8.25] Towards rear of midfield - ridden 3f out - dropped towards rear 2f out - soon no impression
WIND GLIDER 5 1 5 0.038 [94.7, 107.9, 105.98] [101.9, 101.13, 101.85] [102.0, 100.51, 100.07] [103.38, 100.16, 100.77] 6.683 13.9633 22.9402 [82.7, 85.72, 78.97, 70.18] [8.25, 8.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Towards rear of midfield - took closer order 3f out - ridden 2f out - weakened from 1 1/2f out
DIONYSUS COLLIN 8 11 5 0.077 [107.25, 84.12, 87.76] [101.37, 101.39, 100.81] [100.91, 101.67, 100.77] [103.03, 101.46, 100.85] 6.196 15.1394 25.7918 [75.55, 77.88, 85.0, 81.1] [8.25, 8.25, 9.0, 9.0, 8.25] Midfield - outpaced inside 2f out - soon no impression
OWNERS' STAR 6 5 6 0.267 [88.06, 86.12, 107.15] [99.17, 100.83, 101.41] [99.61, 101.09, 101.98] [97.8, 100.35, 101.81] 2.482 39.2901 25.8389 [84.85, 82.2, 83.65, 84.2] [9.0, 11.0, 9.0, 8.25, 8.25] In touch in midfield - ridden over 2f out - driven and headway over 1f out - every chance 125yds out - no extra final 50yds
SAVVY KINGMAN 10 7 4 0.222 [99.95, 96.1, 106.72] [100.02, 101.37, 101.57] [96.84, 99.66, 101.86] [92.05, 99.99, 101.19] 1.254 78.7448 21.5666 [71.5, 63.78, 82.25, 85.62] [7.0, 8.0, 8.0, 8.25, 8.25] Midfield - forward move to track leaders after 2 1/2f - chased leader 2 1/2f out - soon ridden - led inside final furlong - headed 100yds out - kept on
MING WARRIOR 2 3 4 0.029 [86.33, 95.3, 95.04] [102.71, 100.0, 101.77] [99.69, 102.53, 101.2] [95.8, 100.03, 98.32] 0.512 194.312 17.8041 [78.8, 79.5, 67.8, 58.65] [6.0, 7.0, 6.0, 8.0, 8.25] Raced keenly - in touch in midfield - slightly hampered over 2f out - soon lost place - eased over 1f out
CABLE SPEED 4 6 4 0.029 [110.2, 104.04, 86.15] [100.31, 102.62, 100.13] [98.79, 104.66, 100.44] [96.68, 107.01, 99.94] 0.006 16665.7 18.6845 [69.1, 64.92, 59.82, 71.9] [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 9.0, 8.25] Midfield - ridden inside 3f out - weakened steadily from 2f out

Race Number 4

Horse Number Draw Age ML Win Prob Last 3 First Pct. Last 3 Final 6f Pct. Last 3 Final 4f Pct Last 3 Fin. Pct. Win Prob. Fair Odds Clas Rating FN_figs Last 4 Dist. Comment
VICTORY IN HAND 3 5 5 0.2 [99.31, 98.0, 89.76] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [100.35, 101.03, 102.94] [98.39, 98.16, 99.56] 28.375 2.52423 25.9219 [71.8, 80.6, 82.2, 81.6] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 5.0] Towards rear of midfield - wide into straight - ridden 1 1/2f out - driven and stayed on well final furlong - nearest finish
CANTSTOPTHEFEELING 1 4 5 0.143 [86.92, 98.02, 88.61] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [103.91, 101.02, 103.32] [96.72, 98.39, 101.44] 17.07 4.85823 23.2204 [71.6, 64.2, 79.2, 83.72] [6.0, 5.0, 6.0, 5.0, 5.0] Midfield - ridden 2 1/2f out - driven over 1f out - stayed on well final furlong - nearest finish
MY MY MY 5 11 3 0.2 [nan, 88.8, 89.95] [nan, 100.0, 100.0] [nan, 103.26, 102.87] [nan, 101.79, 99.46] 16.281 5.14213 28.5023 [nan, nan, 81.72, 80.5] [nan, nan, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] Tracked leaders - ridden 1 1/2f out - driven and every chance inside final furlong - no extra final 50yds
HARMONY FIRE 2 7 3 0.2 [nan, 89.74, 87.68] [nan, 100.0, 100.0] [nan, 102.94, 103.64] [nan, 102.14, 100.74] 13.31 6.51315 30.7566 [nan, nan, 79.9, 84.0] [nan, nan, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] In touch in midfield - ridden and headway from 1 1/2f out - led 150yds out - kept on well - driven out
JOYFUL WIN 4 10 3 0.091 [90.19, 89.29, 92.35] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [102.8, 103.09, 102.12] [99.75, 99.91, 96.17] 8.283 11.0729 24.9223 [77.4, 75.2, 87.0, 75.3] [6.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] With leader - ridden 2f out - no extra inside final furlong
VERY SWEET ORANGE 10 12 6 0.048 [90.05, 99.94, 90.95] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [102.84, 100.03, 102.55] [100.75, 96.94, 97.77] 5.582 16.9147 24.6021 [71.4, 75.3, 75.6, 75.6] [6.0, 5.0, 6.0, 5.0, 5.0] Quickly away and lead - ridden 1 1/2f out - headed 150yds out - weakened final 100yds
SHOWINA 8 2 3 0.091 [nan, nan, 85.12] [nan, nan, 100.0] [nan, nan, 104.57] [nan, nan, 100.26] 4.717 20.1999 25.7206 [nan, nan, nan, 78.9] [nan, nan, nan, 5.0, 5.0] Towards rear of midfield - ridden over 2f out - kept on from 1 1/2f out - not going pace to threaten
FOURAWARRIOR 7 9 4 0.143 [nan, nan, nan] [nan, nan, nan] [nan, nan, nan] [nan, nan, nan] 4.645 20.5285 nan [nan, nan, nan, nan] [nan, nan, nan, nan, 5.0] nan
BOOMING WELL 6 1 3 0.038 [nan, nan, nan] [nan, nan, nan] [nan, nan, nan] [nan, nan, nan] 1.321 74.7002 nan [nan, nan, nan, nan] [nan, nan, nan, nan, 5.0] nan
OVERSUBSCRIBED 12 8 5 0.029 [86.0, 88.7, 86.87] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [104.24, 103.29, 103.93] [102.65, 100.33, 100.62] 0.263 379.228 22.3239 [69.7, 80.1, 78.0, 74.9] [5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] Started slowly - towards rear of midfield - ridden inside 2f out - driven and kept on final 150yds
GOUTEN OF GARO 11 3 7 0.029 [89.67, 91.57, 88.17] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [102.97, 102.36, 103.47] [100.81, 98.98, 101.25] 0.12 832.333 22.7865 [74.0, 83.0, 65.9, 72.1] [5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0] Towards rear - ridden and no impression from 1 1/2f out
TOWARDS SUCCESS 9 6 3 0.029 [nan, nan, 86.96] [nan, nan, 100.0] [nan, nan, 103.89] [nan, nan, 102.0] 0.033 3029.3 14.7067 [nan, nan, nan, 67.9] [nan, nan, nan, 5.0, 5.0] Always in rear

Race Number 5

Horse Number Draw Age ML Win Prob Last 3 First Pct. Last 3 Final 6f Pct. Last 3 Final 4f Pct Last 3 Fin. Pct. Win Prob. Fair Odds Clas Rating FN_figs Last 4 Dist. Comment
SHADOW RUNNER 6 1 4 0.154 [94.71, 87.95, 97.87] [100.0, 102.34, 100.0] [102.87, 99.51, 101.1] [102.17, 97.38, 99.11] 18.826 4.3118 23.4477 [82.2, 87.0, 75.0, 84.2] [6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 6.0, 6.0] Tracked leaders - ridden 2f out - chased leader and kept on from 1 1/2f out - not able to challenge - no extra final 50yds
SHINING ON 4 3 7 0.091 [95.95, 95.77, 95.01] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [102.16, 102.26, 102.7] [101.58, 100.76, 102.72] 16.987 4.88685 26.2881 [79.4, 79.8, 81.0, 79.4] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Towards rear - ridden over 2f out - stayed on final furlong - nearest finish
SUPERB DADDY 7 4 4 0.25 [85.91, 96.25, 95.32] [102.81, 100.0, 100.0] [100.83, 101.99, 102.51] [99.12, 102.3, 101.63] 12.847 6.78392 25.2701 [77.5, 78.5, 79.98, 81.2] [7.0, 7.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Towards rear - ridden 2 1/2f out - steady headway from 2f out - stayed on final furlong - nearest finish
NOBLE DESIRE 12 5 5 0.091 [85.2, 83.53, 86.31] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [104.54, 105.19, 104.13] [99.33, 100.74, 97.42] 11.583 7.63334 24.8858 [78.6, 87.97, 81.1, 76.8] [5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 6.0] Prominent - ridden 2f out - driven over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong
FIRE BALL 11 6 4 0.267 [96.96, 95.99, 96.94] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [101.59, 102.14, 101.6] [100.23, 101.89, 99.13] 7.846 11.7453 24.0205 [87.4, 85.4, 88.2, 81.4] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Tracked leaders - ridden 2f out - every chance 1 1/2f out - no extra final furlong
SPRINT FORWARD 1 11 5 0.091 [97.3, 96.89, 98.17] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [101.41, 101.63, 100.94] [100.39, 100.85, 99.59] 7.216 12.8581 26.3593 [83.5, 81.0, 76.0, 84.8] [7.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] In touch - ridden 2f out - wide into straight - stayed on final furlong - took 2nd close home - flattered by proximity to easy winner
WHISKEY NEAT 2 12 4 0.077 [90.13, 99.78, 98.22] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [102.81, 100.11, 100.92] [101.0, 97.64, 98.3] 6.825 13.652 25.368 [87.4, 81.97, 73.8, 89.2] [6.0, 5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Led - ridden 1 1/2f out - headed 150yds out - kept on well - held by cosy winner final 50yds
GOODLUCK GOODLUCK 5 10 6 0.077 [99.73, 101.12, 97.84] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [100.14, 99.45, 101.12] [95.31, 93.92, 100.77] 6.47 14.456 26.3382 [64.4, 85.8, 73.0, 82.8] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Raced keenly - led after 1f - ridden and kept on well from 1 1/2f out - headed close home
CHIKORITA 8 2 5 0.059 [95.07, 96.93, 95.24] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [102.66, 101.61, 102.56] [99.29, 100.07, 100.76] 4.273 22.4028 20.7559 [71.6, 71.6, 75.8, 70.6] [5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Towards rear - ridden inside 2f out - driven and kept on steadily final furlong - never on terms
KING'S TROOPER 10 7 5 0.038 [103.49, 95.61, 98.73] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [98.34, 102.35, 100.65] [89.75, 100.53, 97.51] 3.649 26.4048 21.0677 [74.76, 44.32, 76.8, 75.2] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] In touch in midfield - ridden inside 2f out - weakened final 100yds
NOIR RIDER 3 8 4 0.038 [97.44, 98.87, 99.37] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [101.33, 100.57, 100.32] [98.88, 95.71, 97.0] 3.463 27.8767 17.0715 [73.3, 74.4, 69.8, 77.0] [5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Led - ridden inside 2f out - headed 100yds out - soon weakened
EXUBERANT 9 9 3 0.01 [nan, nan, 98.52] [nan, nan, 100.0] [nan, nan, 100.76] [nan, nan, 97.47] 0.015 6665.67 17.8682 [nan, nan, nan, 71.8] [nan, nan, nan, 6.0, 6.0] Midfield - wide into straight and lost place - ridden and no impression from 1 1/2f out

Race Number 6

Horse Number Draw Age ML Win Prob Last 3 First Pct. Last 3 Final 6f Pct. Last 3 Final 4f Pct Last 3 Fin. Pct. Win Prob. Fair Odds Clas Rating FN_figs Last 4 Dist. Comment
MORE THAN ENOUGH 6 10 4 0.143 [107.55, 84.96, 103.39] [101.26, 103.04, 102.88] [100.24, 100.16, 103.29] [101.75, 99.22, 102.89] 18.151 4.50934 24.9446 [84.82, 82.68, 75.5, 86.2] [8.25, 8.25, 7.0, 8.25, 8.25] Held up towards rear - ridden over 2f out - driven 1 1/f out - stayed on final 100yds - nearest finish
REGENCY MASTER 4 8 4 0.048 [107.49, 94.6, 103.23] [101.28, 101.94, 102.95] [99.95, 101.22, 103.44] [97.34, 100.88, 103.46] 17.033 4.87096 24.637 [80.15, 60.35, 70.38, 82.88] [8.25, 8.25, 8.0, 8.25, 8.25] Held up in rear - ridden 3f out - wide into straight - kept on final 100yds - never dangerous
OSCAR GLORY 7 1 3 0.154 [93.69, 86.25, 86.4] [100.0, 102.73, 102.69] [103.48, 100.69, 100.51] [102.64, 101.3, 99.28] 16.918 4.91086 25.3819 [nan, 69.4, 86.5, 90.5] [nan, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0, 8.25] Midfield - ridden 2f out - driven and kept on from 1 1/2f out - nearest finish
V CHEVALIERS 2 3 6 0.125 [105.49, 104.34, 107.14] [102.04, 102.49, 101.41] [102.43, 103.07, 101.11] [103.2, 106.19, 101.28] 16.736 4.97514 25.0622 [86.0, 84.58, 85.81, 81.15] [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Took keen hold - tracked leaders - ridden inside 2f out - kept on final furlong - not able to challenge
SEAWEED FORTUNE 5 4 5 0.048 [95.67, 95.24, 82.86] [101.53, 101.69, 103.57] [101.84, 100.28, 102.2] [103.19, 98.91, 102.76] 10.179 8.82415 26.2953 [83.3, 86.05, 74.0, 81.0] [8.0, 8.0, 8.0, 7.0, 8.25] Towards rear - ridden over 2f out - driven and kept on from inside 2f out - not going pace to threaten
PLIKCLONE 8 6 5 0.143 [85.0, 97.59, 86.08] [103.03, 100.0, 102.77] [101.16, 101.25, 99.21] [102.3, 100.3, 97.97] 8.067 11.3962 25.6896 [85.0, 86.5, 78.0, 91.8] [6.0, 7.0, 6.0, 7.0, 8.25] Led after 1 1/2f - ridden and headed inside 2f out - rallied and pressed leader final furlong - kept on well - just held
GLORIOUS LOVER 1 2 5 0.25 [106.67, 106.06, 106.41] [101.59, 101.82, 101.69] [101.15, 101.47, 101.89] [101.39, 103.74, 105.36] 5.901 15.9463 27.8565 [85.4, 83.88, 84.58, 77.15] [8.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] In touch - ridden 2f out - driven over 1f out - every chance inside final furlong - kept on
THUNDER STOMP 10 9 8 0.25 [108.88, 106.63, 106.47] [100.77, 101.6, 101.66] [99.22, 99.72, 101.75] [98.49, 101.46, 100.47] 3.361 28.753 26.6618 [84.5, 79.92, 82.81, 89.05] [7.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Led after 1f - ridden 2f out - driven inside final furlong - headed 50yds out - kept on
HAPPY WARRIOR 11 5 7 0.02 [108.46, 106.76, 112.05] [100.93, 101.55, 99.69] [100.79, 99.8, 97.89] [102.96, 101.75, 96.22] 2.679 36.3274 25.3117 [66.0, 74.3, 76.35, 60.78] [6.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Chased leader - ridden and lost place inside 3f out - weakened from 1 1/2f out
AMBITIOUS HEART 3 11 7 0.029 [96.27, 96.18, 97.3] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [101.98, 102.03, 101.41] [100.3, 102.47, 99.42] 0.514 193.553 26.9817 [82.8, 89.0, 79.8, 69.8] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 8.25] Towards rear of midfield - ridden and no impression from 2f out
SUN SUN FA FA 12 7 5 0.02 [107.07, 102.22, 103.13] [101.44, 103.37, 102.99] [98.59, 101.65, 102.77] [97.28, 98.86, 104.09] 0.373 267.097 20.1231 [78.5, 64.15, 49.38, 65.38] [7.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Always towards rear
STAR OF RED 9 12 4 0.01 [105.58, 104.34, 87.15] [102.0, 102.5, 99.71] [101.07, 103.23, 99.5] [101.16, 106.62, 95.97] 0.088 1135.36 15.4868 [nan, 61.3, 68.12, 68.3] [nan, 8.25, 8.25, 9.0, 8.25] Tracked leaders - chased clear leader 3 1/2f out - ridden 2 1/2f out - weakened 1 1/2f out - eased final furlong

Race Number 7

Horse Number Draw Age ML Win Prob Last 3 First Pct. Last 3 Final 6f Pct. Last 3 Final 4f Pct Last 3 Fin. Pct. Win Prob. Fair Odds Clas Rating FN_figs Last 4 Dist. Comment
BE READY 5 9 5 0.25 [96.34, 88.16, 87.86] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [101.94, 103.48, 103.58] [99.87, 100.76, 100.49] 21.597 3.63027 30.6304 [86.72, 72.12, 78.7, 79.6] [5.0, 6.0, 5.0, 5.0, 6.0] Towards rear of midfield - wide into straight - ridden 1 1/2f out - stayed on final furlong
DAILY BEAUTY 9 4 5 0.25 [104.61, 96.25, 97.48] [102.39, 100.0, 100.0] [102.57, 101.99, 101.31] [104.75, 101.35, 99.99] 17 4.88235 27.101 [80.2, 77.45, 85.0, 86.0] [6.0, 8.25, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Towards rear of midfield - steady headway on inside from 3f out - ridden 1 1/2f out - driven and stayed on well final furlong - led close home - readily
HERCULES 11 3 5 0.154 [95.61, 94.03, 93.89] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [102.35, 103.28, 103.36] [102.69, 104.9, 101.68] 13.878 6.20565 23.4955 [77.0, 80.0, 80.4, 86.0] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Started slowly - in rear - ridden 1 1/2f out - stayed on final 150yds - nearest finish
HIGH RISE SOLDIER 3 10 5 0.143 [93.84, 96.49, 98.26] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [103.39, 101.86, 100.9] [103.9, 99.89, 97.84] 13.169 6.59359 29.2748 [84.8, 88.2, 86.6, 91.98] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] In touch - ridden 2f out - stayed on final furlong - led 50yds out - headed last stride
SHOUSON 4 2 5 0.143 [95.3, 96.34, 96.28] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [102.53, 101.94, 101.97] [101.59, 102.34, 99.91] 11.395 7.77578 26.4524 [74.0, 84.0, 83.76, 92.0] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Towards rear of midfield - ridden inside 2f out - driven and stayed on well final furlong - led last stride
CALIFORNIA CONCORD 2 1 5 0.059 [88.54, 98.79, 100.51] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [103.34, 100.62, 99.75] [99.79, 95.65, 96.67] 7.183 12.9218 28.2764 [87.7, 80.7, 55.8, 81.2] [5.0, 5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Prominent - led after 2f - headed over 2f out - ridden inside 2f out - weakened final 125yds
AQUILA 10 6 5 0.067 [99.19, 100.06, 91.43] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [100.41, 99.97, 102.4] [96.77, 96.5, 97.03] 3.906 24.6016 28.4865 [77.9, 84.16, 75.2, 71.2] [5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 5.0, 6.0] Led after 1f - ridden 1 1/2f out - headed over 1f out - weakened final furlong
ISLAND SHINE 8 11 5 0.02 [95.48, 83.69, 83.68] [100.0, 103.36, 103.36] [102.43, 102.93, 101.78] [102.23, 100.66, 100.23] 3.413 28.2997 27.4961 [83.6, 85.2, 65.5, 86.5] [6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 7.0, 6.0] Midfield - outpaced over 2f out - soon no impression
MR LUMIERES 12 8 7 0.029 [84.91, 91.77, 88.81] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [104.65, 102.29, 103.25] [100.39, 96.89, 99.95] 2.959 32.7952 28.2877 [77.6, 84.3, 64.2, 80.4] [6.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 6.0] In touch - ridden over 2f out - driven final furlong - weakened final 75yds
YOUNG LEGEND 1 12 7 0.067 [91.88, 97.82, 97.52] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [104.62, 101.13, 101.29] [103.02, 97.04, 98.68] 2.762 35.2056 29.8248 [88.5, 84.6, 67.2, 89.0] [7.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] In touch in midfield - ridden over 2f out - kept on well final furlong - nearest finish
CASIMIRO 7 5 7 0.029 [93.08, 94.87, 87.59] [102.54, 101.84, 100.11] [101.71, 101.83, 100.13] [101.8, 102.64, 98.74] 1.912 51.3013 25.0896 [86.65, 96.0, 87.82, 80.85] [8.0, 8.0, 8.0, 9.0, 6.0] In touch - ridden over 2f out - weakened final furlong
MOST WELCOME 6 7 4 0.029 [nan, nan, 97.42] [nan, nan, 100.0] [nan, nan, 101.34] [nan, nan, 97.99] 0.826 120.065 23.2891 [nan, nan, nan, 78.2] [nan, nan, nan, 6.0, 6.0] Led - headed after 1f - tracked leaders - slightly hampered and lost place 2f out - soon ridden - weakened final furlong

Race Number 8

Horse Number Draw Age ML Win Prob Last 3 First Pct. Last 3 Final 6f Pct. Last 3 Final 4f Pct Last 3 Fin. Pct. Win Prob. Fair Odds Clas Rating FN_figs Last 4 Dist. Comment
WOOD ON FIRE 8 5 5 0.111 [97.13, 93.78, 95.51] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [101.5, 103.43, 102.41] [101.15, 102.77, 101.23] 16.38 5.10501 25.7143 [76.4, 86.0, 72.0, 89.0] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Towards rear of midfield - headway into midfield halfway - ridden 2 1/2f out - stayed on strongly from over 1f out - led 50yds out - cosily
STOCK LEGEND 5 9 4 0.125 [97.56, 98.83, 97.06] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [101.27, 100.59, 101.54] [99.74, 99.0, 99.84] 16.334 5.1222 25.2009 [90.0, 88.0, 76.8, 91.0] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] In touch - tracked leaders over 2f out - ridden inside 2f out - chased leader 1 1/2f out - led 150yds out - kept on well - cosily
STANLEY PARK 1 4 6 0.111 [97.64, 98.0, 99.57] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [101.23, 101.03, 100.21] [99.73, 99.51, 98.44] 15.655 5.38774 27.6502 [88.76, 84.8, 86.6, 85.4] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Tracked leaders - ridden 2f out - kept on inside final furlong - not able to challenge - no extra final 50yds
JOYFUL UNION 2 1 6 0.111 [84.23, 96.42, 95.09] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [104.91, 101.89, 102.65] [99.31, 100.86, 100.56] 11.473 7.71612 30.718 [86.0, 77.0, 77.0, 83.0] [6.0, 5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Towards rear of midfield - ridden 1 1/2f out - kept on final furlong - nearest finish
ARES 10 11 4 0.077 [96.79, 103.36, 97.45] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [101.69, 98.4, 101.33] [99.01, 92.24, 100.98] 8.403 10.9005 28.4383 [87.0, 82.2, 43.4, 79.2] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Tracked leaders - ridden 1 1/2f out - driven final furlong - no extra final 75yds
FLYING SWORD 9 7 5 0.077 [83.82, 85.27, 101.69] [103.32, 102.96, 103.6] [102.77, 101.98, 103.86] [104.91, 102.07, 105.72] 8.05 11.4224 28.2231 [87.68, 86.5, 81.5, 85.45] [8.25, 7.0, 7.0, 8.25, 6.0] Held up in rear - ridden 2f out - kept on final furlong - never dangerous
SOARING TOWER 11 8 4 0.308 [94.43, 95.17, 84.77] [100.0, 100.0, 103.09] [103.04, 102.6, 101.88] [102.42, 101.04, 102.48] 7.468 12.3905 27.7038 [nan, 90.0, 88.98, 80.5] [nan, 6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 6.0] Midfield - ridden 2 1/2f out - weakened from 1 1/2f out
HARMONY N HOME 7 3 5 0.167 [92.76, 99.44, 96.67] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [104.06, 100.28, 101.75] [105.57, 97.86, 100.73] 6.997 13.2918 27.0308 [90.8, 87.2, 74.0, 80.8] [6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] In touch in midfield - outpaced 2f out - driven and no impression final furlong
FIRST RESPONDER 12 2 5 0.067 [98.88, 94.52, 97.74] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [100.57, 102.98, 101.17] [97.97, 101.71, 99.48] 3.375 28.6296 26.0287 [90.6, 80.6, 88.8, 81.8] [5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Midfield - ridden inside 2f out - driven final furlong - no extra final 100yds
CIRCUIT SEVEN 6 12 3 0.01 [93.72, 96.04, 101.77] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [103.47, 102.11, 99.14] [100.95, 100.61, 92.63] 2.261 43.2282 17.8708 [65.6, 78.0, 76.0, 72.2] [5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Led - ridden 2f out - headed over 1f out - weakened final furlong
SIMPLY FLUKE 3 6 6 0.048 [85.85, 94.31, 94.82] [100.0, 100.0, 100.0] [104.3, 103.11, 102.81] [102.49, 101.94, 102.36] 2.141 45.7071 27.0178 [82.6, 85.0, 76.4, 74.6] [6.0, 5.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0] Towards rear of midfield - outpaced and no impression from 2f out
MERIDIAN GENIUS 4 10 5 0.02 [94.76, 83.41, 98.84] [100.0, 103.43, 100.0] [102.84, 101.59, 100.59] [100.58, 99.3, 96.73] 1.463 67.3527 29.3253 [80.4, 85.2, 82.0, 61.4] [6.0, 6.0, 7.0, 6.0, 6.0] Towards rear of midfield - stumbled badly and lost place 1 1/2f out - soon eased

Race Number 9

Horse Number Draw Age ML Win Prob Last 3 First Pct. Last 3 Final 6f Pct. Last 3 Final 4f Pct Last 3 Fin. Pct. Win Prob. Fair Odds Clas Rating FN_figs Last 4 Dist. Comment
WEALTHY DELIGHT 4 5 4 0.286 [104.58, 105.69, 107.34] [102.4, 101.96, 101.34] [103.13, 101.61, 99.49] [105.32, 98.87, 102.52] 38.815 1.57632 30.5899 [87.15, 90.0, 89.68, 91.0] [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Towards rear of midfield - ridden over 2f out - wide into straight - driven and stayed on strongly final furlong - led 50yds out - shade cosily
FAST PACE 10 10 5 0.125 [105.61, 83.85, 86.47] [101.99, 101.6, 100.75] [101.73, 103.1, 101.29] [101.69, 103.85, 99.57] 14.24 6.02247 29.762 [86.0, 83.81, 87.65, 89.4] [8.25, 8.25, 9.0, 9.0, 8.25] In touch in midfield - shaken up and quick forward move to lead 3 1/2f out - ridden 2f out - headed 100yds out - no extra final 50yds
SUNNY STAR 3 12 4 0.182 [105.45, 105.55, 106.27] [102.05, 102.01, 101.74] [102.27, 101.91, 102.18] [104.47, 102.75, 103.66] 11.054 8.0465 32.453 [89.0, 88.58, 93.0, 87.58] [7.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Midfield - lost place over 2f out - soon ridden - driven and stayed on well final furlong - nearest finish
TOTAL POWER 12 3 5 0.015 [102.76, 108.12, 109.72] [103.14, 101.05, 100.48] [105.36, 100.96, 97.91] [108.96, 99.85, 96.54] 10.05 8.95025 25.5775 [78.6, 76.03, 85.2, 71.85] [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] With leader - ridden over 2f out - raced awkwardly on turn into straight and lost place - weakened 1f out - eased inside final furlong
KING OPIE 2 8 6 0.2 [96.52, 95.42, 109.39] [101.22, 101.62, 100.59] [100.41, 99.76, 98.5] [102.17, 97.75, 100.25] 7.971 11.5455 29.8431 [79.5, 71.15, 89.82, 88.62] [7.0, 8.0, 8.0, 8.25, 8.25] Reared leaving stalls - soon in midfield - ridden and took closer order over 2f out - driven and kept on well from 1 1/2f out - pressed leader 100yds out - no extra closing stages
SURREALISM 8 2 6 0.048 [106.99, 103.64, 105.0] [101.46, 102.78, 102.23] [103.41, 102.65, 102.74] [104.76, 103.04, 101.82] 7.188 12.9121 26.8283 [81.08, 75.5, 86.82, 85.2] [8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Towards rear - headway into midfield on outside 3 1/2f out - ridden and effort inside 2f out - chased leaders over 1f out - driven inside final furlong - weakened final 50yds
PRIME MINISTER 5 9 5 0.091 [104.1, 83.83, 84.39] [102.59, 103.32, 103.18] [102.24, 102.44, 101.07] [102.0, 105.24, 99.03] 3.274 29.5437 26.8262 [79.5, 81.25, 82.8, 93.5] [7.0, 8.25, 7.0, 7.0, 8.25] Midfield - ridden and took closer order 2f out - not clear run and angled out over 1f out - kept on same pace final furlong
EXCEPTIONAL NICE 11 4 5 0.077 [98.94, 107.39, 115.04] [100.36, 101.32, 98.74] [97.27, 103.8, 95.29] [94.41, 108.19, 92.4] 2.546 38.2773 26.0546 [90.0, 80.95, 85.05, 54.42] [7.0, 8.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] In touch - outpaced 2f out - collided into and lost place on turn for home - soon beaten - eased final furlong
PIANO SOLO 7 11 5 0.02 [96.81, 96.6, 103.87] [101.11, 100.0, 102.69] [98.29, 101.79, 103.34] [94.49, 99.78, 103.69] 1.776 55.3063 18.1527 [nan, 69.88, 67.2, 85.2] [nan, 8.0, 6.0, 8.25, 8.25] Held up in rear - ridden 1 1/2f out - kept on well final furlong - nearest finish
FARSHAD 6 1 7 0.091 [106.36, 107.72, 107.03] [101.71, 101.19, 101.45] [104.05, 101.48, 101.81] [106.8, 101.56, 101.49] 1.627 60.4628 26.8124 [85.8, 79.3, 91.1, 89.0] [6.0, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25, 8.25] Tracked leaders - chased leader inside 3f out - ridden inside 2f out - led 1f out - kept on well final furlong - driven out
PERPETUUM 1 7 4 0.015 [84.58, 85.48, 84.41] [100.0, 102.91, 103.17] [104.77, 100.31, 100.63] [99.1, 97.69, 97.79] 0.745 133.228 18.4532 [nan, 58.1, 62.5, 72.0] [nan, 5.0, 7.0, 7.0, 8.25] Always towards rear
NOTHING NEW 9 6 5 0.091 [105.68, 86.65, 106.65] [101.97, 100.8, 101.59] [99.81, 99.6, 101.92] [97.26, 97.83, 102.0] 0.714 139.056 28.2098 [83.0, 81.5, 87.9, 86.62] [7.0, 8.25, 9.0, 8.25, 8.25] In touch in midfield - ridden 2f out - chased leaders 1 1/2f out - kept on final furlong - not able to challenge

Created by John Camardo © 2020